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Prediction markets for Gen

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2025?

Jan 16, 5:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.32%chance

124092

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4863

633

When will the first deliveries of the 2nd gen Tesla Roadster occur?

Mar 3, 3:50 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

92280

OptionProbability

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

45

37

22

4

Will there ever be a Gen X US President?

Oct 1, 5:34 AMOct 9, 3:59 AM

80.09%chance

12952

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

93

2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?

Dec 20, 3:47 PMDec 27, 11:59 PM

3552

OptionProbability

Labour Majority, fossil fuels <=22%

Labour Majority, fossil fuels >22%

Not Labour Majority, fossil fuels >22%

Not Labour Majority, fossil fuels <=22%

51

47

1

1

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Jan 16, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32%chance

11510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

878

Will Avalanche Energy deliver a prototype of next-gen space propulsion for qualification testing by 12/31/2025?

Aug 10, 9:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.34%chance

7275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

333

38

When will we get the first successful video game that uses vid gen instead of a traditional engine?

May 25, 6:17 PMMay 26, 6:16 PM

8252

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2027?

Jan 16, 5:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

5184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

86

Will Gen Z consider Apple's Genmoji to be "boomer cringe"?

Jun 11, 3:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.27%chance

375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

"NVIDIA uses 12VHPWR-style connector for next-gen GPUs?"

Apr 5, 1:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.64%chance

573

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

63

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

An LLM beats the Champion in FireRed BEFORE achieving it in Gen 1 Red?

May 27, 10:30 PMAug 25, 12:00 AM

33.78%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

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