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Prediction markets for Gen

Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for Sale General Availability (GA) by 2026?

Jan 16, 5:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.95%chance

258410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6179

317

When will the first deliveries of the 2nd gen Tesla Roadster occur?

Mar 3, 3:50 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

246772

OptionProbability

Before 2040

Before 2033

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2026

Before 2027

Before 2028

81

70

58

19

0

0

0

Will the Tesla Roadster (2nd gen) be the fastest production car before 2032?

Sep 21, 3:46 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

51.61%chance

133217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

968

Will there ever be a Gen X US President?

Oct 1, 5:34 AMOct 9, 3:59 AM

79.18%chance

13954

OptionVotes

NO

YES

220

95

Will it be possible to operate Tesla 2nd gen roadster off the ground in public without a pilots licence?

Oct 16, 1:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.44%chance

15751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1477

677

New Eeveelution in Pokémon Gen 10 main-series games?

Dec 3, 5:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.06%chance

16434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Will I be able to build a bot that achieves #1 on the Gen 9 1v1 ladderboard on Pokemon Showdown before the end of 2026?

May 12, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.77%chance

5432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

698

Will Germany leave the FCAS sixth-gen fighter programme and join the GCAP/Tempest programme instead?

Nov 3, 6:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

21.14%chance

6120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

117

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

Nov 18, 4:35 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

When is a Gen X (or younger) Catholic pope first elected?

Jul 16, 12:44 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3100

OptionProbability

Other

2040s

2030s

2020s

36

27

22

14

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.49%chance

251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

951

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