General Assembly News

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

9 months ago

Illinois Lawmakers Press for Session as RTA Faces $771 Million Transit Gap

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Illinois Lawmakers Press for Session as RTA Faces $771 Million Transit Gap

9 months ago

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IATA Urges ICAO to Lift Pilot Retirement Age to 67

8 months ago

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.74%chance

9431761

OptionVotes

YES

4066

649

Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum be certified by June 30th?

Apr 27, 3:28 PMJun 30, 3:27 PM

82.28%chance

515014

OptionVotes

YES

5064

4665

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.53%chance

343134

OptionVotes

YES

2044

748

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

13.08%chance

322986

OptionVotes

YES

1738

817

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

15.21%chance

152357

OptionVotes

YES

2361

424

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

3.68%chance

141429

OptionVotes

YES

2195

908

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

YES

1139

442

After a superintelligent AI is created, how long will it take for the first Drexlerian assembler to be developed?

Dec 31, 9:55 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

10432

OptionProbability

181-365 days

731+ days

366-730 days

less than one day

1-7 days

8-31 days

32-90 days

91-180 days

Other

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

Apr 12, 11:31 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

12402

OptionProbability

Rafael Grossi [Argentinian diplomat - director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency]

Other

Rebeca Grynspan [high-level UN official and former vice president of Costa Rica]

Michelle Bachelet [former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and President of Chile]

Jacinda Ardern (Former Prime Minister of New Zealand)

Mia Mottley [Prime Minister of Barbados]

Juan Manuel Santos [former Colombian president – a Nobel peace Prize laureate]

Alicia Bárcena [Mexico’s foreign affairs secretary]

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés [former president of the UN General Assembly and former minister of Ecuador]

Will Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?

Apr 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.1%chance

4351

OptionVotes

YES

1253

798

Will the General Assembly be reset in 2026?

Oct 15, 7:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.64%chance

4338

OptionVotes

YES

721

356

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

Apr 4, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.88%chance

12270

OptionVotes

YES

1071

801

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Prediction markets for General Assembly

Prediction markets for General Assembly

Prediction markets for General Assembly

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum be certified by June 30th?

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

After a superintelligent AI is created, how long will it take for the first Drexlerian assembler to be developed?

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

Will Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?

Will the General Assembly be reset in 2026?

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

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