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Prediction markets for General Atlantic

Spain removed from NATO by 2027?

Oct 11, 12:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.71%chance

7616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

510

20

Will NATO cease to exist before 2030?

Jun 24, 6:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.74%chance

11519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

323

31

Will AI lead to a large decrease in TRANSLATOR & INTERPRETER jobs before the end of 2027?

Nov 23, 8:36 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

85.31%chance

12371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

313

173

Which European countries will deploy naval vessels to the Pacific in 2026 and/or 2027?

Jan 13, 4:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4207

OptionProbability

Russia

UK

France

Italy

Spain

Netherlands

Germany

Denmark

Turkey

Portugal

Norway

Belgium

Greece

Poland

100

100

100

89

87

86

66

50

50

43

36

34

31

24

Will Derek Thompson run for office by EOY 2030?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.49%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

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