General Council News

When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering?

Nov 23, 6:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 PM

81158482

OptionProbability

[All non-meta options for before 2030 are continuously under 50% for any 4 week period before 2025]

Before January 2040

Before January 2030

Before January 2029

Before January 2028

[Any month is continuously over 50% for 24 hours because of a relevant news story and resolves NO, before January 2026]

[Any month is continuously over 50% for any 6 week period less than one year before it arrives, before January 2026]

Before January 2027

Before January 2026

By January 2024

By February 2024

By March 2024

By April 2024

By June 2024

Before July 2024

Before January 2025

Will we know interdimensional UFOs are real before 2026?

Jan 17, 3:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.19%chance

52117627

OptionVotes

YES

2040

946

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15%chance

312810

OptionVotes

YES

1844

761

¿Partido ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Honduras en 2025? / Winning party of Honduras' 2025 pres. election?

Nov 29, 11:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91464

OptionProbability

Libertad y Refundación

Partido Nacional

Partido Liberal

Otro / Other

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

46.74%chance

14929

OptionVotes

YES

1068

937

Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

70%chance

19692

OptionVotes

YES

1093

669

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

7.22%chance

12378

OptionVotes

YES

1142

963

Will the United Nations pass a resolution recognizing Palestinian statehood before September 30, 2025?

Jul 2, 8:38 PMOct 14, 11:59 PM

19.17%chance

11282

OptionVotes

YES

205

CDA overtakes VVD at 2025 Dutch Elections

Jun 23, 8:55 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

5269

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will Kosovo become a United Nations member state by 2030?

Oct 8, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.61%chance

6255

OptionVotes

YES

200

PVV wins at least 30 seats at the 2025 Dutch Elections?

Jul 7, 12:10 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

48.58%chance

7101

OptionVotes

YES

103

¿Partido ganador de la eleccion a la alcaldia del D.C. en 2025? / Winning party of the C.D. 2025 mayoral election?

Dec 16, 4:50 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

583

OptionProbability

Partido Nacional

Libertad y Refundación

Partido Liberal

Otro / Other

General Council News

Prediction markets for General Council

Prediction markets for General Council

Prediction markets for General Council

When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering?

Will we know interdimensional UFOs are real before 2026?

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

¿Partido ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Honduras en 2025? / Winning party of Honduras' 2025 pres. election?

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Will the United Nations pass a resolution recognizing Palestinian statehood before September 30, 2025?

CDA overtakes VVD at 2025 Dutch Elections

Will Kosovo become a United Nations member state by 2030?

PVV wins at least 30 seats at the 2025 Dutch Elections?

¿Partido ganador de la eleccion a la alcaldia del D.C. en 2025? / Winning party of the C.D. 2025 mayoral election?

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