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Prediction markets for General Court

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

59.06%chance

9213274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1201

833

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Apr 22, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.66%chance

43645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4212

237

Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

Dec 21, 5:14 AMDec 21, 5:12 AM

133629

OptionProbability

Not before 31 December 2030

in 2030

in 2028

in 2029

in 2026

in 2027

75

9

6

6

2

2

Will Platner, El-Sayed, and Talarico all win their Senate seats?

Jun 5, 2:37 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

24.3%chance

162415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3459

1202

Intoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?

Nov 13, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.23%chance

81367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1654

605

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Mar 21, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.79%chance

81263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

698

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

691

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?

Mar 31, 9:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

44.08%chance

8591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1126

888

Will the "Local Taxpayer Protection Act to Save Proposition 13" pass

Apr 25, 3:46 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

19.06%chance

3526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1521

836

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Kalshi)

Jun 8, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.97%chance

280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

981

Will Massachusetts Bill SD.2808 pass in the 194th General Court?

Apr 15, 3:27 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

Apr 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

20

20

20

20

20

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