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Prediction markets for General Court

Will Nasry Asfura win the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election?

Oct 4, 5:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.45%chance

5478756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3778

265

Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?

May 29, 12:35 AMJan 1, 1:23 AM

80.93%chance

8416710

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2060

485

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

51.14%chance

9012803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

978

Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)

Apr 1, 6:20 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

4.54%chance

266096

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4585

218

Will another Ivy+ university lose the general ability to enroll international students by end of March 2026?

May 22, 9:57 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

212990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1600

625

Will there be a False Flag in New York after Mamdani Election

Nov 17, 3:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17.37%chance

132395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2181

459

US state/federal regulatory apparatus takes another action against Polymarket before January 1, 2026

Jul 22, 2:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.38%chance

72354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3372

309

Intoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?

Nov 13, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.31%chance

3576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1447

691

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

32.89%chance

6421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

70

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Apr 22, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.57%chance

2135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1115

897

How many deputies will Partido Missão elect to Brazil's Chamber of Deputies in the 2026 general election?

Nov 24, 6:11 PMOct 5, 11:59 PM

2106

OptionProbability

0-4 deputies

5-8 deputies

9-12 deputies

13+ deputies

61

21

11

7

Will Massachusetts Bill SD.2808 pass in the 194th General Court?

Apr 15, 3:27 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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