General Court News

Will Elon Musk buy TikTok?

Jan 14, 12:45 AMAug 31, 11:00 PM

1.53%chance

224226271

OptionVotes

YES

103868

5643

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

1151

869

Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?

May 29, 12:35 AMJan 1, 1:23 AM

68.88%chance

384517

OptionVotes

YES

1488

672

Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)

Apr 1, 6:20 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

6.3%chance

193956

OptionVotes

YES

3856

259

Will another Ivy+ university lose the general ability to enroll international students by end of March 2026?

May 22, 9:57 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

57.02%chance

202185

OptionVotes

YES

1152

868

US state/federal regulatory apparatus takes another action against Polymarket before January 1, 2026

Jul 22, 2:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.92%chance

4800

OptionVotes

YES

1818

573

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Dec 8, 4:01 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11238

OptionProbability

[Consumer Privacy] A.T. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Sancton v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Chabon v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Silverman v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Libel] Walters v. OpenAI, L.L.C. (Ga. Super. Ct. 2023)

[Copyright] P.M. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

Will the District Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

Apr 6, 8:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.84%chance

13191

OptionVotes

YES

215

Will any US state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a candidate for state office by 2028?

Mar 4, 8:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.64%chance

5173

OptionVotes

YES

221

183

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Apr 22, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.57%chance

2135

OptionVotes

YES

1115

897

Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?

Jul 21, 9:50 AMAug 15, 12:00 AM

34.79%chance

465

OptionVotes

YES

137

Will Massachusetts Bill SD.2808 pass in the 194th General Court?

Apr 15, 3:27 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

111

General Court News

Prediction markets for General Court

Prediction markets for General Court

Prediction markets for General Court

Will Elon Musk buy TikTok?

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?

Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)

Will another Ivy+ university lose the general ability to enroll international students by end of March 2026?

US state/federal regulatory apparatus takes another action against Polymarket before January 1, 2026

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Will the District Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?

Will any US state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a candidate for state office by 2028?

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?

Will Massachusetts Bill SD.2808 pass in the 194th General Court?

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