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Prediction markets for General Court

Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?

May 29, 12:35 AMJan 1, 1:23 AM

75.22%chance

9725458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1744

575

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

58.08%chance

9013035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1177

850

Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)

Apr 1, 6:20 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

5.28%chance

286881

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4237

236

Will another Ivy+ university lose the general ability to enroll international students by end of March 2026?

May 22, 9:57 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

6.97%chance

236147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3654

274

Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

Dec 21, 5:14 AMDec 21, 5:12 AM

133539

OptionProbability

Not before 31 December 2030

in 2030

in 2028

in 2029

in 2027

in 2026

82

6

4

4

2

1

Will there be a False Flag in New York after Mamdani Election

Nov 17, 3:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17.37%chance

132395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2181

459

Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?

Jan 25, 4:01 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

25.49%chance

192020

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

585

Intoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?

Nov 13, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.54%chance

4876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

991

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Apr 22, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.57%chance

2135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1115

897

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.19%chance

599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.19%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

823

Will Massachusetts Bill SD.2808 pass in the 194th General Court?

Apr 15, 3:27 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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