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Prediction markets for General Court

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.6%chance

9413352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

876

Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)

Apr 1, 6:20 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

5.12%chance

388117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4305

232

Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

Dec 21, 5:14 AMDec 21, 5:12 AM

143990

OptionProbability

Not before 31 December 2030

in 2030

in 2028

in 2029

in 2026

in 2027

80

7

5

5

2

2

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Apr 22, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

88.1%chance

63775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2722

367

If Democrats win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block Democratic winners from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

26.98%chance

61825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7412

5085

Intoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?

Nov 13, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.17%chance

91536

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1430

699

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Kalshi)

Jun 8, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.95%chance

171340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

785

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Mar 21, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.8%chance

81310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1535

652

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?

Mar 31, 9:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

38.88%chance

14913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1254

798

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

691

Will Massachusetts Bill SD.2808 pass in the 194th General Court?

Apr 15, 3:27 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

44.84%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

Apr 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

20

20

20

20

20

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