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Prediction markets for General Electric

will i drop out of college?

Aug 9, 10:38 AMJun 30, 2:59 PM

14.22%chance

363678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2429

359

Which space application will first use 1 MWe?

Sep 20, 12:35 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

92404

OptionProbability

Hosted data center

Cryptocurrency mining

Reflected sunlight

Manufacturing

Beamed power

63

17

11

5

3

Will AGI or widespread commercial nuclear fusion be developed first?

Jan 10, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

322027

OptionProbability

AGI

Nuclear Fusion

77

23

Will Buick sell 20k+ EVs in the US in 2030?

Oct 5, 10:04 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

24.42%chance

3950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

568

When will the LAX People Mover Open (extended)

Oct 19, 3:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4357

OptionProbability

Before January 2029

Before October 2028

Before July 2028

Before April 2028

Before January 2028

Before October 2027

Before July 2027

Before April 2027

75

73

69

56

54

46

45

39

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Will Slate Auto ship vehicles to customers in 2026?

Jan 10, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.56%chance

12337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Will fossil fuel-powered cars be banned from use in the majority of the world by 2050?

May 14, 1:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.54%chance

8173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

112

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.64%chance

458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

81

Will artificial intelligence technologies and infrastures die, defunct, and cease to exist before 2100?

Nov 1, 8:11 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

12%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

Apr 13, 6:10 PM

230

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