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Prediction markets for General Electric

Will a utility suggest customers leave their home AC on full-blast during the day because of net-negative demand by '26?

Jan 27, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.03%chance

507121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4150

638

will i drop out of college?

Aug 9, 10:38 AMJun 30, 2:59 PM

19.63%chance

353273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2024

440

Which space application will first use 1 MWe?

Sep 20, 12:35 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

92097

OptionProbability

Cryptocurrency mining

Hosted data center

Reflected sunlight

Manufacturing

Beamed power

35

28

23

9

5

Will AGI or widespread commercial nuclear fusion be developed first?

Jan 10, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

301495

OptionProbability

AGI

Nuclear Fusion

54

46

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Will Buick sell 20k+ EVs in the US in 2030?

Oct 5, 10:04 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

49.55%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

991

Will fossil fuel-powered cars be banned from use in the majority of the world by 2050?

May 14, 1:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.54%chance

8173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

112

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.48%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Major EV manufacturer announces 10%+ layoffs in 2025?

Jun 7, 7:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.03%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

110

Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

Apr 13, 6:10 PM

230

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