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Prediction markets for General Electric

Will a utility suggest customers leave their home AC on full-blast during the day because of net-negative demand by '26?

Jan 27, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.68%chance

505971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

768

will i drop out of college?

Aug 9, 10:38 AMJun 30, 2:59 PM

24.53%chance

333018

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1769

512

Will AGI or widespread commercial nuclear fusion be developed first?

Jan 10, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

301495

OptionProbability

AGI

Nuclear Fusion

54

46

Which space application will first use 1 MWe?

Sep 20, 12:35 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

81050

OptionProbability

Hosted data center

Beamed power

Reflected sunlight

Cryptocurrency mining

Manufacturing

34

25

18

15

9

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Will fossil fuel-powered cars be banned from use in the majority of the world by 2050?

May 14, 1:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.54%chance

8173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

112

Will silver prices be $50 + by the end of 2025

Mar 25, 3:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

6103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will Buick sell 20k+ EVs in the US in 2030?

Oct 5, 10:04 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.75%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

Major EV manufacturer announces 10%+ layoffs in 2025?

Jun 7, 7:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.03%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

110

Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

Apr 13, 6:10 PM

230

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