General Government News

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

55.06%chance

2236326

OptionVotes

YES

10879

9227

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

May 5, 12:22 AMJan 2, 1:21 AM

306426

OptionProbability

Labour majority

Reform majority

Reform minority

Conservatives + Reform coalition

Labour minority

Labour + Greens + Liberal Democrats coalition

Conservatives majority

Conservatives minority

Labour + Greens coalition

Labour + Liberal Democrats coalition

Green + Liberal Democrats coalition

Other

Labour + Conservatives coalition

Labour + Reform coalition

Conservatives + Liberal Democrats coalition

[invalid] Coalition of more than two parties

After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?

Aug 22, 12:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

265093

OptionProbability

National

Opportunities (TOP)

ACT

NZ First

Labour

Greens

Te Pāti Māori

NewZeal

Legalise Cannabis

New Conservative

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

10297

9614

Will the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?

Dec 16, 5:01 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

8.72%chance

9518

OptionVotes

YES

162

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

Dec 2, 2:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

15506

OptionVotes

YES

125

If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern

Mar 21, 5:34 PMNov 21, 11:59 PM

64.4%chance

6463

OptionVotes

YES

1345

744

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Dec 3, 2:59 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

35.93%chance

5460

OptionVotes

YES

1335

749

Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election

Mar 6, 6:39 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

8149

OptionProbability

National

Labour

Does Netanyahu lead the next government after the Israeli General Election?

Sep 18, 12:49 PMOct 27, 10:59 PM

37.66%chance

10104

OptionVotes

YES

129

Rerun of Swedish General Election because no government formed?

Sep 14, 11:58 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

18.37%chance

494

OptionVotes

YES

192

In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?

Jun 20, 8:24 PMJan 31, 8:59 PM

525

OptionProbability

Other

Partisan split; Ds think measures were effective & necessary, Rs think it was a big government conspiracy. Overall 50% think policies went well, 30% too far, 10% not far enough.

mRNA vaccines turned out much more dangerous than expected

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtJJC0nWs9s South Korea, China, Thailand, Vietnam, etc. will be viewed as having WORSE responses than the U.S. India will be praised, though.

Measures were not strict enough, zero COVID was within reach

General Government News

Prediction markets for General Government

Prediction markets for General Government

Prediction markets for General Government

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Will the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election

Does Netanyahu lead the next government after the Israeli General Election?

Rerun of Swedish General Election because no government formed?

In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?

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