General Government News

UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?

Nov 29, 7:47 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

17.55%chance

3136474

OptionVotes

YES

15558

5160

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

57.06%chance

2235957

OptionVotes

YES

11340

8865

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

Jan 22, 5:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.75%chance

11226658

OptionVotes

YES

17360

3293

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

May 5, 12:22 AMJan 2, 1:21 AM

285355

OptionProbability

Reform majority

Labour majority

Labour minority

Labour + Greens coalition

Conservatives majority

Conservatives minority

Reform minority

Conservatives + Reform coalition

Other

Labour + Liberal Democrats coalition

Green + Liberal Democrats coalition

Conservatives + Liberal Democrats coalition

Labour + Conservatives coalition

Labour + Reform coalition

[invalid] Coalition of more than two parties

After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?

Aug 22, 12:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

234806

OptionProbability

National

NZ First

ACT

Labour

Greens

Te Pāti Māori

Opportunities (TOP)

NewZeal

Legalise Cannabis

New Conservative

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

10382

9514

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

Dec 2, 2:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.03%chance

14500

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?

Dec 16, 5:01 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

10%chance

6461

OptionVotes

YES

150

If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern

Mar 21, 5:34 PMNov 21, 11:59 PM

62.64%chance

4411

OptionVotes

YES

1295

772

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Dec 3, 2:59 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

37.71%chance

4410

OptionVotes

YES

1285

778

In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?

Jun 20, 8:24 PMJan 31, 8:59 PM

525

OptionProbability

Other

Partisan split; Ds think measures were effective & necessary, Rs think it was a big government conspiracy. Overall 50% think policies went well, 30% too far, 10% not far enough.

mRNA vaccines turned out much more dangerous than expected

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtJJC0nWs9s South Korea, China, Thailand, Vietnam, etc. will be viewed as having WORSE responses than the U.S. India will be praised, though.

Measures were not strict enough, zero COVID was within reach

Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election

Mar 6, 6:39 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

220

OptionProbability

National

Labour

General Government News

Prediction markets for General Government

Prediction markets for General Government

Prediction markets for General Government

UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

Will the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?

If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?

Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election

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