General Government News

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39.58%chance

7634311

OptionVotes

YES

1236

809

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

65.25%chance

1722896

OptionVotes

YES

13518

7480

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

Jan 22, 5:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.16%chance

10822745

OptionVotes

YES

16040

4153

Which political parties will form the next coalition government in the Netherlands after the 2025 general elections?

Oct 30, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2011113

OptionProbability

D66

CDA

VVD

JA21

GL-PvdA

50Plus

Volt

SGP

PVV

BBB

FvD

PvdD

Denk

UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?

Nov 29, 7:47 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

47.79%chance

98775

OptionVotes

YES

9111

6386

After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?

Aug 22, 12:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

194655

OptionProbability

National

ACT

Labour

NZ First

Greens

Te Pāti Māori

Opportunities (TOP)

NewZeal

Legalise Cannabis

New Conservative

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

May 5, 12:22 AMJan 2, 1:21 AM

233219

OptionProbability

Reform majority

Other

Labour minority

Labour majority

Labour + Liberal Democrats coalition

Conservatives + Reform coalition

Reform minority

Conservatives majority

Conservatives minority

Conservatives + Liberal Democrats coalition

Labour + Conservatives coalition

Labour + Reform coalition

[invalid] Coalition of more than two parties

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

10382

9514

Will the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?

Dec 16, 5:01 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

10%chance

5455

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

Dec 2, 2:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.84%chance

10422

OptionVotes

YES

125

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Dec 3, 2:59 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

41.58%chance

3310

OptionVotes

YES

1185

844

In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?

Jun 20, 8:24 PMJan 31, 8:59 PM

525

OptionProbability

Other

Partisan split; Ds think measures were effective & necessary, Rs think it was a big government conspiracy. Overall 50% think policies went well, 30% too far, 10% not far enough.

mRNA vaccines turned out much more dangerous than expected

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtJJC0nWs9s South Korea, China, Thailand, Vietnam, etc. will be viewed as having WORSE responses than the U.S. India will be praised, though.

Measures were not strict enough, zero COVID was within reach

General Government News

Prediction markets for General Government

Prediction markets for General Government

Prediction markets for General Government

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

Which political parties will form the next coalition government in the Netherlands after the 2025 general elections?

UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?

After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Will the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?

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