General Government News

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

55.14%chance

2236311

OptionVotes

YES

10897

9212

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

Jan 22, 5:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.75%chance

11226658

OptionVotes

YES

17360

3293

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.84%chance

408599

OptionVotes

YES

5103

5087

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

May 5, 12:22 AMJan 2, 1:21 AM

306376

OptionProbability

Reform minority

Conservatives + Reform coalition

Labour minority

Reform majority

Labour majority

Labour + Greens + Liberal Democrats coalition

Conservatives majority

Conservatives minority

Labour + Greens coalition

Labour + Liberal Democrats coalition

Green + Liberal Democrats coalition

Other

Labour + Conservatives coalition

Labour + Reform coalition

Conservatives + Liberal Democrats coalition

[invalid] Coalition of more than two parties

After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?

Aug 22, 12:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

254849

OptionProbability

National

NZ First

ACT

Labour

Greens

Te Pāti Māori

Opportunities (TOP)

NewZeal

Legalise Cannabis

New Conservative

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

10297

9614

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

Dec 2, 2:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

15506

OptionVotes

YES

125

If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern

Mar 21, 5:34 PMNov 21, 11:59 PM

64.4%chance

5461

OptionVotes

YES

1345

744

Will the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?

Dec 16, 5:01 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

10%chance

6461

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Dec 3, 2:59 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

37.71%chance

4410

OptionVotes

YES

1285

778

Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election

Mar 6, 6:39 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

7118

OptionProbability

National

Labour

In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?

Jun 20, 8:24 PMJan 31, 8:59 PM

525

OptionProbability

Other

Partisan split; Ds think measures were effective & necessary, Rs think it was a big government conspiracy. Overall 50% think policies went well, 30% too far, 10% not far enough.

mRNA vaccines turned out much more dangerous than expected

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtJJC0nWs9s South Korea, China, Thailand, Vietnam, etc. will be viewed as having WORSE responses than the U.S. India will be praised, though.

Measures were not strict enough, zero COVID was within reach

General Government News

Prediction markets for General Government

Prediction markets for General Government

Prediction markets for General Government

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern

Will the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election

In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?

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