General State Administration News
Prediction markets for General State Administration
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
43%chance
8712384
OptionVotes
1151
869
Will the Trump administration deport a US citizen to El Salvador this year?
Mar 17, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.63%chance
647475
OptionVotes
1209
827
Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?
May 29, 12:35 AMJan 1, 1:23 AM
68.88%chance
384517
OptionVotes
1488
672
Will LGBTQ+ content online be legally censored in the US before 2026?
Jan 30, 3:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.15%chance
353804
OptionVotes
1301
769
OptionVotes
2390
418
Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?
Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
57.38%chance
11511
OptionVotes
1160
862
Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?
Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
34.42%chance
565
OptionVotes
4007
3989
ANY safe-to-visit country refuses gender-neutral passports by 2040
Mar 26, 8:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.33%chance
252
OptionVotes
152
66