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4 months ago

Will AI take over the world and keep humans as pets before the year 2100

Nov 20, 10:19 AMDec 31, 11:01 PM

20%chance

384523

OptionVotes

YES

1004

843

Will Lula be a key actor in the peace between Ukraine and Russia?

Feb 23, 5:28 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

4.98%chance

161505

OptionVotes

YES

2046

896

Will "Beware General Claims about “Generalizable Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jun 12, 12:40 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.02%chance

2265

OptionVotes

YES

1265

962

Will prompting of generalist models be the dominant method of interaction with LLMs on 1 January 2028?

Jun 15, 2:33 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

42.6%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

116

Will "From SLT to AIT: NN generalisation out-of-dis..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 8, 4:14 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

1000

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Will AI take over the world and keep humans as pets before the year 2100

Will Lula be a key actor in the peace between Ukraine and Russia?

Will "Beware General Claims about “Generalizable Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will prompting of generalist models be the dominant method of interaction with LLMs on 1 January 2028?

Will "From SLT to AIT: NN generalisation out-of-dis..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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