German government News

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

73.51%chance

9119792

OptionVotes

YES

1666

632

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

44.35%chance

244598

OptionVotes

YES

1120

893

Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?

Sep 3, 8:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.46%chance

292872

OptionVotes

YES

963

949

Will Germany give up paper correspondence before the technological singularity happens?

May 22, 10:42 AMOct 29, 9:59 PM

18.22%chance

182717

OptionVotes

YES

2119

472

Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?

Sep 21, 6:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.25%chance

5630

OptionVotes

YES

1630

769

Will the German government revert cannabis legalization in the next 4 years?

May 3, 7:19 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

6.22%chance

13606

OptionVotes

YES

388

Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?

May 20, 9:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33%chance

16603

OptionVotes

YES

142

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

Feb 9, 3:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

30%chance

21466

OptionVotes

YES

153

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Feb 3, 11:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8342

OptionProbability

The Federal Constitutional Court is not asked to decide.

The Federal Constituional Court is asked but decides that Höcke does not forfeit any basic rights.

The Federal Constitutional Court declares that any of Höcke's basic rights are forfeit.

The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?

Aug 17, 10:40 AMMar 30, 10:59 PM

55.42%chance

13341

OptionVotes

YES

111

Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election?

Apr 7, 1:17 AMSep 23, 11:59 PM

45.18%chance

361

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will Nuremberg 2.0 over pandemics become a reality before 2100?

Sep 9, 12:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.01%chance

OptionVotes

YES

101

German government News

Prediction markets for German government

Prediction markets for German government

Prediction markets for German government

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?

Will Germany give up paper correspondence before the technological singularity happens?

Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?

Will the German government revert cannabis legalization in the next 4 years?

Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?

Will the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election?

Will Nuremberg 2.0 over pandemics become a reality before 2100?

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