German government News

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

70.94%chance

8519270

OptionVotes

YES

1559

672

Will Germany recognize Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?

May 28, 3:20 PMMay 29, 8:59 PM

4.88%chance

4310631

OptionVotes

YES

5001

193

Will Germany give up paper correspondence before the technological singularity happens?

May 22, 10:42 AMOct 29, 9:59 PM

18.22%chance

182717

OptionVotes

YES

2119

472

Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?

Sep 3, 8:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

11.29%chance

252333

OptionVotes

YES

996

622

Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election?

Feb 24, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

252216

OptionProbability

CDU/CSU + SPD

CDU/CSU + AfD

CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens

SPD + Greens + Left

CDU/CSU + Greens

CDU/CSU + Greens + FDP

CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP

Other

CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP

No coalition before 2030

SPD + Greens + FDP

SPD + Greens

CDU/CSU + FDP

CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens + FDP

AfD alone

Will Germany cancel dual citizenship by 2030?

Feb 24, 10:11 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.93%chance

181128

OptionVotes

YES

426

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8715

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Estonia

Alaska

Other

Finland

Lithuania

Latvia

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

38.39%chance

9694

OptionVotes

YES

1267

789

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Feb 3, 11:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8342

OptionProbability

The Federal Constitutional Court is not asked to decide.

The Federal Constituional Court is asked but decides that Höcke does not forfeit any basic rights.

The Federal Constitutional Court declares that any of Höcke's basic rights are forfeit.

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

Oct 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.92%chance

9342

OptionVotes

YES

414

140

Will the German government revert cannabis legalization in the next 4 years?

May 3, 7:19 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

12.73%chance

11269

OptionVotes

YES

262

The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?

Aug 17, 10:40 AMMar 30, 10:59 PM

43.11%chance

9193

OptionVotes

YES

115

German government News

Prediction markets for German government

Prediction markets for German government

Prediction markets for German government

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Will Germany recognize Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?

Will Germany give up paper correspondence before the technological singularity happens?

Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?

Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election?

Will Germany cancel dual citizenship by 2030?

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

Will the German government revert cannabis legalization in the next 4 years?

The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?

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