German Parliament News

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.35%chance

5734209

OptionVotes

YES

11596

8623

Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?

Oct 23, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4110703

OptionProbability

Brandenburg

Saxony

Thuringia

Saxony-Anhalt

Saarland

Hesse

Bremen

North Rhine-Westphalia

Schleswig-Holstein

Lower Saxony

Bavaria

Berlin

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Baden-Württemberg

Hamburg

Rhineland-Palatinate

100

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

44.35%chance

244598

OptionVotes

YES

1120

893

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

Oct 22, 9:09 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

15.51%chance

132305

OptionVotes

YES

233

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

Apr 23, 4:55 PMApr 20, 4:51 PM

28.46%chance

7637

OptionVotes

YES

159

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

Feb 9, 3:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

30%chance

21466

OptionVotes

YES

153

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Feb 3, 11:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8342

OptionProbability

The Federal Constitutional Court is not asked to decide.

The Federal Constituional Court is asked but decides that Höcke does not forfeit any basic rights.

The Federal Constitutional Court declares that any of Höcke's basic rights are forfeit.

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

Oct 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.92%chance

9342

OptionVotes

YES

414

140

When will Germany decide about its nuclear waste repository?

Jul 23, 4:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

52.03%chance

8316

OptionProbability

YES

436

242

In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?

May 17, 6:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10253

OptionProbability

No Bundestag decision before 2069

Brandenburg

Bavaria

Lower Saxony

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

North Rhine-Westphalia

Schleswig-Holstein

Saxony-Anhalt

Thuringia

Baden-Württemberg

Berlin

Hesse

Rhineland-Palatinate

Saxony

Bremen

Hamburg

Saarland

Will Ulrich Siegmund become the Prime Minister of Saxony-Anhalt by the end of the year (2026)?

Sep 11, 7:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

66%chance

590

OptionVotes

YES

139

Will the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elect a Ministerpraesident on or before 6 November 2026?

Sep 7, 12:09 PMNov 6, 10:59 PM

22%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

German Parliament News

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

When will Germany decide about its nuclear waste repository?

In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?

Will Ulrich Siegmund become the Prime Minister of Saxony-Anhalt by the end of the year (2026)?

Will the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elect a Ministerpraesident on or before 6 November 2026?

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