German Parliament News

Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?

Oct 23, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

276103

OptionProbability

Saxony

Thuringia

Brandenburg

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Saxony-Anhalt

Berlin

Saarland

Hamburg

North Rhine-Westphalia

Lower Saxony

Hesse

Bremen

Rhineland-Palatinate

Schleswig-Holstein

Baden-Württemberg

Bavaria

100

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

Oct 22, 9:09 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

9.52%chance

7927

OptionVotes

YES

308

Will Jens Spahn step down as leader of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag in 2025?

Jun 25, 1:13 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

21.42%chance

12883

OptionVotes

YES

192

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

40.03%chance

8554

OptionVotes

YES

1224

817

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

Oct 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.92%chance

9342

OptionVotes

YES

414

140

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Feb 3, 11:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7339

OptionProbability

The Federal Constitutional Court is not asked to decide.

The Federal Constituional Court is asked but decides that Höcke does not forfeit any basic rights.

The Federal Constitutional Court declares that any of Höcke's basic rights are forfeit.

When will Germany decide about its nuclear waste repository?

Jul 23, 4:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

52.03%chance

8316

OptionProbability

YES

436

242

In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?

May 17, 6:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7221

OptionProbability

No Bundestag decision before 2069

Brandenburg

Bavaria

Lower Saxony

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

North Rhine-Westphalia

Schleswig-Holstein

Saxony-Anhalt

Thuringia

Baden-Württemberg

Berlin

Hesse

Rhineland-Palatinate

Saxony

Bremen

Hamburg

Saarland

German Parliament News

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

Will Jens Spahn step down as leader of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag in 2025?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

When will Germany decide about its nuclear waste repository?

In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?

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