German Parliament News

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.46%chance

2512587

OptionVotes

YES

10935

9145

Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?

Oct 23, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

336895

OptionProbability

Saxony

Thuringia

Brandenburg

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Saxony-Anhalt

Berlin

Saarland

North Rhine-Westphalia

Lower Saxony

Bremen

Hesse

Rhineland-Palatinate

Schleswig-Holstein

Hamburg

Baden-Württemberg

Bavaria

100

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

47.68%chance

203326

OptionVotes

YES

1048

955

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

Oct 22, 9:09 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18%chance

112285

OptionVotes

YES

213

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

Apr 23, 4:55 PMApr 20, 4:51 PM

43.04%chance

6352

OptionVotes

YES

115

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Feb 3, 11:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8342

OptionProbability

The Federal Constitutional Court is not asked to decide.

The Federal Constituional Court is asked but decides that Höcke does not forfeit any basic rights.

The Federal Constitutional Court declares that any of Höcke's basic rights are forfeit.

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

Oct 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.92%chance

9342

OptionVotes

YES

414

140

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

Feb 9, 3:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

13.76%chance

12342

OptionVotes

YES

250

When will Germany decide about its nuclear waste repository?

Jul 23, 4:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

52.03%chance

8316

OptionProbability

YES

436

242

In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?

May 17, 6:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10253

OptionProbability

No Bundestag decision before 2069

Brandenburg

Bavaria

Lower Saxony

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

North Rhine-Westphalia

Schleswig-Holstein

Saxony-Anhalt

Thuringia

Baden-Württemberg

Berlin

Hesse

Rhineland-Palatinate

Saxony

Bremen

Hamburg

Saarland

German Parliament News

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

When will Germany decide about its nuclear waste repository?

In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?

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