German Parliament News

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.93%chance

2011336

OptionVotes

YES

11265

8877

Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?

Oct 23, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

296195

OptionProbability

Saxony

Thuringia

Brandenburg

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Saxony-Anhalt

Berlin

Saarland

Hamburg

Lower Saxony

North Rhine-Westphalia

Bremen

Hesse

Rhineland-Palatinate

Schleswig-Holstein

Baden-Württemberg

Bavaria

100

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

Oct 22, 9:09 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

7.39%chance

7931

OptionVotes

YES

354

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Oct 27, 10:32 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

39.28%chance

9709

OptionVotes

YES

1243

804

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Feb 3, 11:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8342

OptionProbability

The Federal Constitutional Court is not asked to decide.

The Federal Constituional Court is asked but decides that Höcke does not forfeit any basic rights.

The Federal Constitutional Court declares that any of Höcke's basic rights are forfeit.

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

Oct 4, 8:36 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.92%chance

9342

OptionVotes

YES

414

140

When will Germany decide about its nuclear waste repository?

Jul 23, 4:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

52.03%chance

8316

OptionProbability

YES

436

242

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

Feb 9, 3:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

15.39%chance

7228

OptionVotes

YES

234

In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?

May 17, 6:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7221

OptionProbability

No Bundestag decision before 2069

Brandenburg

Bavaria

Lower Saxony

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

North Rhine-Westphalia

Schleswig-Holstein

Saxony-Anhalt

Thuringia

Baden-Württemberg

Berlin

Hesse

Rhineland-Palatinate

Saxony

Bremen

Hamburg

Saarland

German Parliament News

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Prediction markets for German Parliament

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Which German states will have Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW in their parliaments after their next elections?

German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026?

Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?

Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?

Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?

When will Germany decide about its nuclear waste repository?

Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?

In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?

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