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Will the GitHub Copilot Litigation Succeed?

Dec 8, 2:52 AMDec 7, 5:00 AM

10.08%chance

12410434

OptionVotes

YES

4399

1460

Will GitHub implement a blanket ban on voice cloning projects before 2026?

Jun 2, 5:03 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

9.78%chance

263095

OptionVotes

YES

3038

329

Will there be a major decentralized GitHub competitor before 2031?

Jun 2, 7:22 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

28.28%chance

252981

OptionVotes

YES

1593

628

Will GitHub Continuous Integration accept SNARKs by 2028?

Mar 29, 3:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.33%chance

412262

OptionVotes

YES

1631

868

Will Typescript overtake JavaScript as the most popular language in GitHub by 2030?

Dec 27, 8:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

472111

OptionVotes

YES

1055

816

Will GitHub release an assistant, similar to Copilot, able to insert comments in code by 2028?

May 27, 10:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.99%chance

81838

OptionVotes

YES

1829

547

In 2028, will programmers usually be able to use GitHub Copilot and similar tools in interviews?

Dec 25, 10:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.29%chance

331103

OptionVotes

YES

1180

884

How many stars will Manifold reach on Github in 2025?

Jan 7, 7:49 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

61095

OptionProbability

500-750

<500

750-1000

1000-1250

Other

KMM will be an archived project on Github by December 2025

Aug 1, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.55%chance

4650

OptionVotes

YES

Will hosting a site on GitHub pages cost money before 2027?

Jan 23, 6:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.9%chance

7128

OptionVotes

YES

318

152

If Manifold's right to use code submitted to their Github is challenged in court, will they win?

Nov 22, 7:56 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

78.99%chance

798

OptionVotes

YES

188

102

How many stars will Manifold reach on Github in 2026?

Jan 7, 7:49 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

240

OptionProbability

Other

1000-1250

750-1000

500-750

<500

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Will the GitHub Copilot Litigation Succeed?

Will GitHub implement a blanket ban on voice cloning projects before 2026?

Will there be a major decentralized GitHub competitor before 2031?

Will GitHub Continuous Integration accept SNARKs by 2028?

Will Typescript overtake JavaScript as the most popular language in GitHub by 2030?

Will GitHub release an assistant, similar to Copilot, able to insert comments in code by 2028?

In 2028, will programmers usually be able to use GitHub Copilot and similar tools in interviews?

How many stars will Manifold reach on Github in 2025?

KMM will be an archived project on Github by December 2025

Will hosting a site on GitHub pages cost money before 2027?

If Manifold's right to use code submitted to their Github is challenged in court, will they win?

How many stars will Manifold reach on Github in 2026?

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