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Prediction markets for GIVE

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

Jan 6, 5:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.99%chance

19637108

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3108

1154

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will a trans woman give birth before 2033?

Sep 27, 4:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.12%chance

804307

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

799

Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?

Oct 23, 10:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.06%chance

414059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1578

660

If passed, will 2 or more AI orgs significantly shift their operations from California and give SB 1047 as the reason?

Aug 29, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.22%chance

152594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2680

373

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.06%chance

172343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

941

Will New York pass a law regulating AI giving professional advice (S-7263) in 2026?

Mar 6, 4:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.31%chance

211653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1674

598

Will I give birth before age 30?

Mar 9, 3:45 PMApr 16, 2:29 PM

62.48%chance

121171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1291

775

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 10:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.6%chance

71088

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

988

Before 2035 will the USA stop giving aid to Israel?

Sep 28, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.8%chance

6482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

813

Will Ireland give up its neutrality before 2027?

Jul 28, 2:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM

21.53%chance

13183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

943

Will Looking for Growth give a London councillor, the London mayor or an MP before 2030?

Jun 17, 1:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.28%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

966

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