Giving Block News

Will we find that the dark forest theory of the universe is true?

Mar 25, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.32%chance

1420948

OptionVotes

YES

1438

927

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

19.06%chance

1211095

OptionVotes

YES

18607

6485

What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2?

Dec 17, 1:40 PMJun 30, 1:27 PM

135281

OptionProbability

Acquired by Paramount

Purchase stalled bureaucratically

Acquired by Netflix

Bankrupt proceedings initiated

None of the above

Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.

Jun 18, 7:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

67.44%chance

231465

OptionVotes

YES

1439

695

Will crypto currency payments be a common thing for millions of people on any continent?

Nov 8, 2:31 AMDec 15, 10:59 PM

50%chance

2492

OptionVotes

YES

1000

If AI has an okay outcome because of a huge alignment effort, where did AI progress stall out?

Mar 17, 3:52 AMMar 17, 3:51 AM

8290

OptionProbability

Superintelligent

Superhuman

Below- or par- human

If a huge alignment effort is part of the reason for AI having an okay outcome, will it involve a new AI paradigm?

Feb 26, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.82%chance

4286

OptionVotes

YES

658

353

How will the situation in Russia change till the end of 2026 [PROP BETS/ADD ANSWERS]

Apr 1, 8:36 PMDec 30, 8:02 PM

3145

OptionProbability

It becomes impossible to withdraw from most popular exchange (bybit)

No internet access for significant part of the year for most of people, no wifi, cell and wire.

Real estate average price >30% drop for more than half remaining days

Economical Default

1$>164₽ more than half of remaining days

Able to read an article for a very small charge on New York Times by end of 2027?

Jan 21, 9:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.16%chance

475

OptionVotes

YES

212

144

Will I get closed-loop controlled TMS (cTMS) by 2035?

Nov 28, 5:24 AM

How can I get this huge list of Google Photos bugs fixed? [currently a 43m long rambling video]

Nov 15, 10:47 PM

110

Help my house find a new roommate

Aug 15, 5:05 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

Giving Block News

Prediction markets for Giving Block

Prediction markets for Giving Block

Prediction markets for Giving Block

Will we find that the dark forest theory of the universe is true?

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2?

Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.

Will crypto currency payments be a common thing for millions of people on any continent?

If AI has an okay outcome because of a huge alignment effort, where did AI progress stall out?

If a huge alignment effort is part of the reason for AI having an okay outcome, will it involve a new AI paradigm?

How will the situation in Russia change till the end of 2026 [PROP BETS/ADD ANSWERS]

Able to read an article for a very small charge on New York Times by end of 2027?

Will I get closed-loop controlled TMS (cTMS) by 2035?

How can I get this huge list of Google Photos bugs fixed? [currently a 43m long rambling video]

Help my house find a new roommate

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