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Global Affairs News
Prediction markets for Global Affairs
Prediction markets for Global Affairs
Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?
May 27, 2:32 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
25.79%
chance
16
1362
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1696
589
Will world population reach 8.3 billion before 2028 according to the UN?
Aug 18, 9:59 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
97.39%
chance
13
826
Option
Votes
NO
YES
558
12
Will another country pass an age restriction on social media by the end of 2026?
Jan 14, 4:17 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
86.27%
chance
18
505
Option
Votes
NO
YES
251
40
Global poverty: Will world life expectancy increase to <5 years of the leading large country's life expectancy by 2050?
Jan 29, 7:39 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
30.83%
chance
8
167
Option
Votes
YES
NO
204
147
Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026?
Aug 22, 11:08 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
31.54%
chance
8
137
Option
Votes
YES
NO
147
68
Will China impose new trade restrictions on Taiwan before October 31, 2026?
Aug 4, 3:18 AM
Oct 30, 11:59 PM
16.74%
chance
6
127
Option
Votes
YES
NO
223
45
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