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Global Dollar News

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8553432

OptionProbability

US Dollar (USD)*

Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*

Euro (EUR)*

British Pound (GBP)*

Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)

Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)

Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)

Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)

Bitcoin (BTC)*

Paperclips

Gold (Au)

Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)

Worldcoin (WLD)*

Ethereum (ETH)*

TRUMP

Manifold Mana

65

33

22

14

9

8

8

8

7

6

6

6

5

4

3

1

Will Bitcoin ever go below $50,000 again?

Jun 15, 9:23 AMJan 1, 10:18 AM

76.34%chance

327669

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1796

557

Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?

Aug 3, 7:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

8.91%chance

405733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6416

739

What will be the world's RESERVE CURRENCY by 2035?

Jun 3, 3:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

543483

OptionProbability

US dollar

Euro

ETH - Ethereum

USDT (Tether)

BTC - Bitcoin

Other

CNY - Chinese Yuan

USDC

CNH - offshore yuan

XAU - Gold

GBP - British Pound

a new BRICS currency

Bitcoin

EUR - European Union Euro

JPY - Japanese Yen

Dai

West African CFA franc

39

17

13

10

9

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

72.9%chance

431906

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1292

856

Will the US dollar still be the global reserve currency at the beginning of 2030?

Jan 30, 9:19 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

73.31%chance

271383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1102

459

Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?

Aug 1, 4:44 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

16.29%chance

301318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1444

853

Are Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑

Apr 4, 11:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

31.88%chance

10649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

69

Will Dune: Part Three make over 650 million dollars at the global box office?

Jan 27, 10:08 AMFeb 4, 7:59 AM

93.83%chance

20617

OptionVotes

NO

YES

390

26

Will Hoppers make over 400 million dollars at the global box office?

Jan 20, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

9541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.86%chance

7136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will the global dollar reserve share be lower than 55% by 1/1/2030?

Apr 24, 4:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

52.34%chance

428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

69

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