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Prediction markets for Global Dollar

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7038248

OptionProbability

US Dollar (USD)*

Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*

Euro (EUR)*

Bitcoin (BTC)*

Ethereum (ETH)*

Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)

Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)

Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)

Gold (Au)

Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)

Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)

Worldcoin (WLD)*

TRUMP

Manifold Mana

Paperclips

57

32

24

8

7

7

7

6

6

6

6

5

5

2

2

5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.

Dec 27, 8:16 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

13.91%chance

283077

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2488

402

Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?

Aug 3, 7:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

33.82%chance

321606

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2623

1579

Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?

Aug 1, 4:44 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

15.97%chance

281263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

848

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

74.93%chance

401206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

810

Will Bitcoin ever go below $50,000 again?

Jun 15, 9:23 AMJan 1, 10:18 AM

45.76%chance

141196

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

919

Will the US dollar still be the global reserve currency at the beginning of 2030?

Jan 30, 9:19 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

81.38%chance

231194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

687

Will Dune: Part Three make over 650 million dollars at the global box office?

Jan 27, 10:08 AMFeb 4, 7:59 AM

73.84%chance

13369

OptionVotes

NO

YES

168

60

Are Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑

Apr 4, 11:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

34.66%chance

8236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2035?

Jun 9, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.58%chance

457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

68

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?

Jun 9, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.46%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Will the global dollar reserve share be lower than 55% by 1/1/2030?

Apr 24, 4:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

52.34%chance

428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

69

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