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Prediction markets for Global Dollar

What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?

Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7745090

OptionProbability

US Dollar (USD)*

Chinese Renminbi (CNY)*

Euro (EUR)*

British Pound (GBP)*

Manifold Mana

Reputation-based Currency (e.g., Whuffie points)

Unit of Computation (FLOP/IOP, etc.)

Utilitarian Value-based Currency (DALY, QALY, dead children, etc.)

Energy-based Unit (Joule/Wh, etc.)

Bitcoin (BTC)*

Emission-Linked Financial Instrument (e.g., carbon coin)

Worldcoin (WLD)*

Gold (Au)

Ethereum (ETH)*

Paperclips

TRUMP

63

31

24

20

9

9

8

8

8

7

6

5

5

4

3

2

Will Bitcoin ever go below $50,000 again?

Jun 15, 9:23 AMJan 1, 10:18 AM

83.2%chance

266297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2225

449

Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?

Aug 3, 7:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

10.53%chance

364786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5803

804

Will canadian dollars drop below $0.70 usd before June 2026

Oct 24, 2:46 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

30.91%chance

131886

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1495

669

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71.67%chance

421856

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1242

876

Will the US dollar still be the global reserve currency at the beginning of 2030?

Jan 30, 9:19 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

73.31%chance

271383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1102

459

Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?

Aug 1, 4:44 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

16.29%chance

301318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1444

853

Are Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑

Apr 4, 11:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

31.88%chance

10649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

69

Will Dune: Part Three make over 650 million dollars at the global box office?

Jan 27, 10:08 AMFeb 4, 7:59 AM

76%chance

16393

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

56

Will Hoppers make over 400 million dollars at the global box office?

Jan 20, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.69%chance

8175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

56

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?

Jun 9, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

688

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the global dollar reserve share be lower than 55% by 1/1/2030?

Apr 24, 4:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

52.34%chance

428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

69

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