Global Emerging Markets News

Will we get Rouge AI before 2032?

Mar 12, 11:13 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9.23%chance

264684

OptionVotes

YES

2710

623

Will we get Rouge AI before 2031?

Mar 10, 2:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9.94%chance

263666

OptionVotes

YES

1896

811

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

112322

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

78%chance

421556

OptionVotes

YES

1542

776

What are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?

May 13, 8:17 PMDec 31, 9:16 PM

24886

OptionProbability

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flood_the_zone

Expansion of military bases (also in accordance with european goals)

Ensure future safety of arctic shipping lines

Legacy of expanding US territory (like Jefferson, Polk, and Johnson).

Mining for Rare earths, ores or coal

To show off and manifest his wannabe superpower status in the world.

Server farms and data centers (such as for AI)

52. State of America (or 51. if Canada successfully rejects)

Ending NATO by attacking allies

Help build Praxis https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Praxis_(proposed_city)

Disrupt the GIUK Gap

Olympic Winter Games

Which countries will legalize psychedelics by the end of 2029? [ADD ANSWERS]

Mar 27, 7:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17754

OptionProbability

Portugal

Switzerland

Brazil

USA

Canada

Netherlands

Spain

Israel

Mexico

Germany

New Zealand

Australia

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.7%chance

4555

OptionVotes

YES

1553

644

Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?

Oct 2, 1:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.83%chance

10525

OptionVotes

YES

1282

780

Will Humanity Create a Consciousness-Emerging Universe Simulation by 2100?

Feb 5, 2:40 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

34.43%chance

14318

OptionVotes

YES

1039

903

Will a Novel Disease Identified by 2025 Cause Over 100 Deaths by End of 2027?

Mar 24, 5:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.37%chance

579

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.5 billion USD on April 1, 2027?

Mar 2, 6:15 PMApr 1, 6:14 PM

33.78%chance

140

OptionVotes

YES

140

(AGI before 2050) x (FTSE Global All Cap Index Real Return)

Feb 7, 10:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

(NO) x (-10% to <20%)

(YES) x (-10% to <20%)

(YES) x (<-10%)

(YES) x (>=20%)

(NO) x (<-10%)

(NO) x (>=20%)

Global Emerging Markets News

Prediction markets for Global Emerging Markets

Prediction markets for Global Emerging Markets

Prediction markets for Global Emerging Markets

Will we get Rouge AI before 2032?

Will we get Rouge AI before 2031?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

What are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?

Which countries will legalize psychedelics by the end of 2029? [ADD ANSWERS]

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?

Will Humanity Create a Consciousness-Emerging Universe Simulation by 2100?

Will a Novel Disease Identified by 2025 Cause Over 100 Deaths by End of 2027?

Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.5 billion USD on April 1, 2027?

(AGI before 2050) x (FTSE Global All Cap Index Real Return)

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