Global Fund News

FDA Clears Gilead’s Twice-Yearly Yeztugo Shot for HIV Prevention

198

1 month ago

Gilead, Global Fund Seal Deal to Supply Long-Acting HIV PrEP to 2 Million

Pharma

Science

World

Gilead, Global Fund Seal Deal to Supply Long-Acting HIV PrEP to 2 Million

5 days ago

When will PEPFAR funding be unfrozen?

Mar 15, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5230986

OptionProbability

After 2025 or not at all

July-December

May or June

April

March

Will the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?

Aug 5, 8:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.3%chance

4112609

OptionVotes

YES

3823

834

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.26%chance

224741

OptionVotes

YES

5159

2655

Will there be a global recession declared by the IMF before December 31, 2025?

Jun 10, 4:17 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

12.6%chance

254300

OptionVotes

YES

2634

380

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.96%chance

123209

OptionVotes

YES

6132

3376

5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.

Dec 27, 8:16 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

13.91%chance

283077

OptionVotes

YES

2488

402

Will GiveWell's recommendations age poorly, by 2026?

Nov 24, 3:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.84%chance

331440

OptionVotes

YES

2655

1053

Relativity Space Fails by December 31, 2025

Nov 25, 1:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.83%chance

41110

OptionVotes

YES

2015

500

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

Will the USG centralize frontier AI development in a single government project?

Nov 19, 2:42 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM

56.51%chance

4140

OptionVotes

YES

1140

877

Will the Netherlands contribute €180 million to the Global Fund during the 2023-2025 period, as pledged in 2022?

Jan 2, 8:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.13%chance

679

OptionVotes

YES

371

324

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?

Jun 9, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.82%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

102

Latest stories

Jul 28, 2025
Jul 28, 2025
Pharma
Science
World
Gilead, Global Fund Seal Deal to Supply Long-Acting HIV PrEP to 2 Million
Authors
34
5 days ago
Jun 20, 2025
Jun 20, 2025
Health
Pharma
Science
FDA Clears Gilead’s Twice-Yearly Yeztugo Shot for HIV Prevention
Authors
198
1 month ago

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Prediction markets for Global Fund

Prediction markets for Global Fund

Prediction markets for Global Fund

When will PEPFAR funding be unfrozen?

Will the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Will there be a global recession declared by the IMF before December 31, 2025?

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

5. Multiple serious efforts to put AI data centers in space will take shape.

Will GiveWell's recommendations age poorly, by 2026?

Relativity Space Fails by December 31, 2025

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Will the USG centralize frontier AI development in a single government project?

Will the Netherlands contribute €180 million to the Global Fund during the 2023-2025 period, as pledged in 2022?

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?

Latest stories

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