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Prediction markets for Global Markets Investor

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

May 9, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40%chance

2217614

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

815

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

52.64%chance

393991

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

983

TikTok sale announced before 2026?

Jul 9, 7:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.97%chance

262280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.71%chance

20567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

233

Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?

Aug 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.93%chance

7345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

832

30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?

May 30, 7:20 PMJan 19, 11:59 AM

28.24%chance

6149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

At the end of 2030 which company will be worth more Coinbase (COIN) or Robinhood (Hood)?

Jun 11, 9:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6130

OptionProbability

Robinhood (HOOD)

Coinbase (COIN)

56

44

Citigroup stock over $100 at EOY2025?

Aug 1, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMDec 31, 2:48 PM

438

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

34

32

11

11

11

Will GAAP and IFRS converge by the end of 2030?

Feb 21, 5:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.96%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

71

Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026?

Dec 7, 1:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.17%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Major EV manufacturer announces 10%+ layoffs in 2025?

Jun 7, 7:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.03%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

110

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