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Prediction markets for Global South
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.87%chance
234991
OptionVotes
5409
2578
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.96%chance
123209
OptionVotes
6132
3376
Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?
Nov 26, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.21%chance
103138
OptionVotes
1102
909
OptionVotes
1064
940
Which "The Economist" "World Ahead" predictions for 2026 will come true?
Dec 25, 1:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30798
OptionProbability
85
85
73
71
50
10
OptionVotes
1063
784
Will the Church of England take an affirming stance on gay marriage by 2030?
Apr 4, 12:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
62.87%chance
16250
OptionVotes
1166
885
Will South Africa's PGM output decline exceed 5% YoY in 2025?
Feb 9, 6:01 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM
41.9%chance
2120
OptionVotes
1032
954
Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?
Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
53.84%chance
280
OptionVotes
1080
926
OptionProbability
12
11
10
10
10
9
9
7
7
7
7
Will Brazil trailing 6-month FeNb exports exceed 80 kt as of September 2026?
Mar 30, 9:43 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
30.94%chance
115
OptionVotes
115
45
Will Brazil trailing 6-month FeNb exports exceed 65 kt as of September 2026?
Mar 30, 9:43 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
45.25%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91