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Prediction markets for Global Times

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

May 9, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40%chance

2217614

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

815

Global CO2 emissions in 2050 (excluding land use)?

Jul 2, 4:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

179634

OptionProbability

40 - 49.99

10 - 19.99

30 - 39.99

0 - 9.99

20 - 29.99

50 - 59.99

Below 0

60 - 69.99

70 - 79.99

80 - 89.99

90+

25

19

13

11

11

10

5

2

1

1

1

Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?

Oct 16, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.25%chance

357419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3130

1464

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2027?

Apr 8, 5:39 PMApr 15, 9:59 PM

39.45%chance

392910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

978

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

112322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1724

580

Will Peter Daszak serve time in the US, UK or EU for his professional global health work before 2040

Jun 15, 9:49 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

9.54%chance

161801

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1485

869

Will there be a global pause on the largest AI training runs at any point before AGI?

May 29, 5:12 PMJan 1, 6:05 PM

19.59%chance

111754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3053

1487

How many times will #QuantumComputing trend on X globally within the next 30 days?

Jan 27, 2:23 AMFeb 28, 2:13 AM

111316

OptionProbability

C) 2

A) 0

B) 1

D) 3

E) 4+

28

24

23

16

9

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

34

25

9

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

68.44%chance

20727

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

631

How many times will #QuantumComputing trend on X globally within the next 30 days?

Jan 19, 7:20 AMFeb 18, 7:19 AM

11370

OptionProbability

2

1

0

3

41

30

25

4

How many times will #QuantumComputing trend on X globally within the next 30 days?

Jan 19, 7:21 AMFeb 18, 7:21 AM

3114

OptionProbability

4+

0

1

2

3

34

23

15

13

13

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