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Prediction markets for Globe

Will neurotechnology enable AI to predict and classify human decisions, along with their influencing factors, by 2030?

May 18, 8:53 PMJan 3, 12:59 PM

59.29%chance

303064

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

815

Will a Western team ever win the League of Legends World Championships again?

Nov 19, 2:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.77%chance

102444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

714

Who will win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 7, 11:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81706

OptionProbability

Timothée Chalamet

Leonardo DiCaprio

Michael B. Jordan

Wagner Moura

Ethan Hawke

Jeremy Allen White

Dwayne Johnson

Jesse Plemons

Joel Edgerton

Paul Mescal

Brad Pitt

Vahid Mobasseri

George Clooney

Colin Farrell

Sergi Lopez

Lee Byung-hun

Oscar Issac

Other

72

11

7

3

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)

Dec 9, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.83%chance

121672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

970

Will there still be at least three Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

May 8, 12:08 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

95.51%chance

131007

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1795

922

Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?

Sep 2, 7:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.89%chance

28761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

923

Will the number of time zones on Earth change by 2030?

Mar 17, 8:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.66%chance

24606

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

932

Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

Oct 8, 10:08 PMJan 13, 6:59 AM

27.02%chance

19414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

941

Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2100?

Mar 24, 3:56 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

27.69%chance

15297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

178

Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

May 8, 12:07 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

75.32%chance

11201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

981

Complaints about delivery vehicles in bike lanes?

Jun 22, 6:24 PMJun 23, 6:10 PM

46.06%chance

3115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

924

Will the Harlem Globetrotters lose again before Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 14, 12:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.43%chance

490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

125

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