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Prediction markets for Globe

GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)

Feb 27, 12:20 AMNov 1, 9:41 PM

55.35%chance

183221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

769

Will neurotechnology enable AI to predict and classify human decisions, along with their influencing factors, by 2030?

May 18, 8:53 PMJan 3, 12:59 PM

59.29%chance

303064

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

815

Will a Western team ever win the League of Legends World Championships again?

Nov 19, 2:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.77%chance

102444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

714

Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)

Dec 9, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.79%chance

131939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

857

Will there still be at least three Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

May 8, 12:08 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

95.51%chance

131007

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1795

922

Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?

Sep 2, 7:59 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.89%chance

28761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

923

Will the number of time zones on Earth change by 2030?

Mar 17, 8:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.66%chance

24606

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

932

Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

Oct 8, 10:08 PMJan 13, 6:59 AM

27.02%chance

19414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

941

Will AI lead to a large decrease in TRANSLATOR & INTERPRETER jobs before the end of 2027?

Nov 23, 8:36 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

78.57%chance

11347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

220

193

Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

May 8, 12:07 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

75.32%chance

11201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

981

Complaints about delivery vehicles in bike lanes?

Jun 22, 6:24 PMJun 23, 6:10 PM

46.06%chance

3115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

924

Will the Harlem Globetrotters lose again before Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 14, 12:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.43%chance

490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

125

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