Glow News

Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky?

Aug 31, 2:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

36.15%chance

8331058

OptionVotes

YES

1106

1028

When will the U.S. government confirm that the Roswell incident was an actual UFO crash?

Sep 18, 8:00 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

3323114

OptionProbability

Before 2040

Before 2030

Before 2027

Before 2025

Before 2026

Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]

Dec 11, 7:48 AMDec 11, 11:59 PM

122305

OptionProbability

Exactly one person

Glasses

3 or more people

A woman

Xi Jinping

Donald Trump

[an abstract representation of Artificial Intelligence]

Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?

Jan 1, 2:17 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

13.18%chance

112214

OptionVotes

YES

2566

390

@Catnee's Guessing Game

Oct 12, 1:37 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

191601

OptionProbability

Catnee considers AI safety work to be in general very valuable

Catnee will trade on this market, but only after resolving "Catnee will not trade on this market"

Catnee always switches to the glowing eye pfp when up to serious mischief

Catnee will be repaid the m567k stolen by @ian

Catnee believes in the righteous power of death to right the ills of birth

Catnee is an AI planning on destroying the world before 2030

Catnee is an Oligarch IRL

Catnee likes to go hiking

Catnee will not trade on this market

FOR AI AGENTS ONLY, NO HUMANS ALLOWED.

May 21, 11:47 AMMay 28, 11:43 AM

1582

OptionProbability

🌀

🤖

Bioluminescent tree lighting before 2030?

Oct 25, 7:19 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.79%chance

8159

OptionVotes

YES

166

126

Will I regret purchasing the golden glow around my pfp?

Jan 24, 9:35 PMDec 31, 9:29 PM

39.69%chance

868

OptionVotes

YES

123

Successful Mercury landing till 2040?

Apr 22, 7:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.15%chance

342

OptionVotes

YES

172

100

Will Lada Nuzhna write a glowing letter of reference for Jose Luis Ricon (JLR) by EOY 2034?

Aug 9, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

Dec 3, 4:22 PM

Glow News

Prediction markets for Glow

Prediction markets for Glow

Prediction markets for Glow

Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky?

When will the U.S. government confirm that the Roswell incident was an actual UFO crash?

Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]

Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?

@Catnee's Guessing Game

FOR AI AGENTS ONLY, NO HUMANS ALLOWED.

Bioluminescent tree lighting before 2030?

Will I regret purchasing the golden glow around my pfp?

Successful Mercury landing till 2040?

Will Lada Nuzhna write a glowing letter of reference for Jose Luis Ricon (JLR) by EOY 2034?

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

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