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Prediction markets for Goals House

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?

Mar 17, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

91.65%chance

8613693

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2299

1040

Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?

Mar 14, 11:02 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

70.28%chance

712780

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1737

971

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.36%chance

152671

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2663

375

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2035?

Dec 29, 8:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.17%chance

141714

OptionVotes

NO

YES

563

452

Will a human be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?

Mar 22, 11:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

76.24%chance

231132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1026

717

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2027?

Jul 8, 1:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.32%chance

161113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

954

314

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?

Jul 9, 11:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.26%chance

14498

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

975

Kevin McCarthy stock (permanent)

Mar 27, 6:26 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

20468

OptionProbability

YES

NO

404

376

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2030?

Dec 29, 8:46 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

73.87%chance

16417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

950

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?

Jul 9, 11:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.73%chance

3290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

884

Will the Pentagon make a major planning/budget change against the F-35 by mid 2027

Feb 16, 1:11 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

18.48%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

48

Will Nicolas Maduro lose his mustache before he dies?

Feb 17, 6:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.8%chance

617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

105

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