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Prediction markets for Gol

Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Sep 12, 5:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.84%chance

143124072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14589

9133

When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

May 26, 11:35 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

67112101

Will an AI get bronze or silver (but not gold) on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

Jul 23, 1:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.31%chance

22688584

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1963

741

Gol D. Roger Stock

May 2, 4:22 PMMay 2, 9:59 PM

2469092

OptionProbability

YES

NO

473

35

At the end of One Piece, which five pirates will have the highest recorded bounties of all time?

Dec 28, 11:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

20433763

OptionProbability

Monkey D Luffy

Blackbeard / Marshall D Teach

Roronoa Zoro

Buggy the Clown

Rocks D. Xebec

Monkey D Dragon

Gol D Roger

Red Hair Shanks

Baggy

Sanji

Midhawk

Usopp

Trafalgar D. Water Law

Crocodile

Whitebeard / Edward Newgate

Kaido

Eustass Kid

Edward weevil

Big Mom / Charlotte Linlin

Franky

Tony Tony Chopper

Mr 4 / Babe

Lucky Roux

98

93

90

88

86

84

81

79

50

50

50

43

42

41

27

22

21

17

8

7

5

3

1

Artificially produced gold on a significant scale by 2035?

Jul 18, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.22%chance

878668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2680

373

Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least 18 months?

Mar 29, 6:43 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

53.7%chance

644087

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1680

1168

What is the one piece?

Feb 26, 5:11 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

352746

OptionProbability

Knowledge about the Void Century

Something else

A vast treasure accumulated by Gol D. Roger

Ancient Weapon from the Void Century

Special eternal pose pointing to a location crucial for changing the world

Bink's Sake

The devil fruit tree

Time travel device

All Blue

The rope seem in the logo

Nothing

79

68

66

63

59

57

53

40

36

22

18

Will more than a gram of non-radioactive gold be produced from mercury by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

61549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Did Gol D Roger win 1v1 against Rocks D Xebec in God Valley (without help from garp) ?

May 24, 4:42 PMDec 30, 4:40 PM

42%chance

19926

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

85

Will India win a gold medal in the men's Twenty20 Cricket at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?

Aug 13, 5:21 AMSep 20, 2:29 PM

73.43%chance

10807

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

100

Gol D Roger Stock

May 10, 11:18 PMMay 11, 10:59 PM

4483

OptionProbability

NO

YES

174

76

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