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Prediction markets for Gol

Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Sep 12, 5:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.14%chance

154150007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

49118

4323

Will an AI get bronze or silver (but not gold) on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

Jul 23, 1:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81.71%chance

237100126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2562

566

Gol D. Roger Stock

May 2, 4:22 PMMay 2, 9:59 PM

2769506

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1159

238

At the end of One Piece, which five pirates will have the highest recorded bounties of all time?

Dec 28, 11:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

21437846

OptionProbability

Monkey D Luffy

Baggy

Buggy the Clown

Roronoa Zoro

Blackbeard / Marshall D Teach

Red Hair Shanks

Gol D Roger

Rocks D. Xebec

Eustass Kid

Midhawk

Monkey D Dragon

Usopp

Sanji

Nico Robin

Trafalgar D. Water Law

Crocodile

Whitebeard / Edward Newgate

Kaido

Edward weevil

Big Mom / Charlotte Linlin

Franky

Tony Tony Chopper

Mr 4 / Babe

Lucky Roux

90

50

50

46

45

42

41

40

39

32

31

28

28

22

19

18

17

13

13

6

6

5

3

1

Trump golfs on >25% of days in 2025?

Oct 16, 11:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.51%chance

7419798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2099

1909

Artificially produced gold on a significant scale by 2035?

Jul 18, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.55%chance

928964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2768

361

Did Gol D Roger win 1v1 against Rocks D Xebec in God Valley (without help from garp) ?

May 24, 4:42 PMDec 30, 4:40 PM

0.54%chance

292955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1357

7

What is the one piece?

Feb 26, 5:11 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

362882

OptionProbability

Knowledge about the Void Century

Something else

Ancient Weapon from the Void Century

Bink's Sake

Special eternal pose pointing to a location crucial for changing the world

A vast treasure accumulated by Gol D. Roger

The devil fruit tree

Time travel device

All Blue

The rope seem in the logo

Nothing

76

71

63

57

52

43

41

40

36

22

18

Will more than a gram of non-radioactive gold be produced from mercury by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

61549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will India win a gold medal in the men's Twenty20 Cricket at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?

Aug 13, 5:21 AMSep 20, 2:29 PM

57.16%chance

10847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

140

Gol D Roger Stock

May 10, 11:18 PMMay 11, 10:59 PM

5798

OptionProbability

NO

YES

488

38

How many Disc Golf Majors will Ricky Wysocki win in the 2026 season?

Oct 29, 3:26 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Zero

One

Two

33

33

33

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