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Prediction markets for GOLD

When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

May 26, 11:35 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

74123174

OptionProbability

2026-2027

2027-2028

2025-2026

2028-2029

2029-2030

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2043-2044

2044-2045

2045-2046

81

10

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Artificially produced gold on a significant scale by 2035?

Jul 18, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.67%chance

949028

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2771

366

Will Gold hit $6,000 per ounce in 2026?

Jan 26, 1:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.32%chance

314025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

967

Will gold reach 20k by EOY 2029?

Dec 23, 9:00 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

12.16%chance

122161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2417

101

Will the first AI to get IMO gold cite AlphaZero?

Dec 11, 6:03 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

63.47%chance

191636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

604

Will more than a gram of non-radioactive gold be produced from mercury by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

61549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will I get a Gold Medal on USAMO 2027?

Apr 28, 3:29 AMMar 21, 3:00 PM

46.29%chance

191402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

928

Will India win a gold medal in the men's Twenty20 Cricket at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?

Aug 13, 5:21 AMSep 20, 2:29 PM

53.47%chance

11857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

148

If the US Women were considered a country, will they be in the Top 3 for the gold medal count at the 2028 Olympics?

Aug 11, 5:35 PMAug 19, 6:59 AM

68.84%chance

5500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

673

Will Hersey's revive the Hershey's Gold candy bar by Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 2, 7:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

49.04%chance

14363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

738

Will the Euro overtake gold as a global reserve asset by the end of June 2028?

Mar 9, 1:49 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

29.41%chance

1198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

972

How many Gold Medals will the winner of Metaculus cup have

Jun 25, 8:04 AMSep 3, 12:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

9+

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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