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Prediction markets for Golden

Will the US move forward with constructing the "Golden Dome" in 2025?

Jun 22, 1:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99.59%chance

4825402

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15502

65

Will MLB adopt a 'golden at-bat' rule before 2026?

Dec 3, 7:14 PMApr 11, 6:59 AM

3.38%chance

74943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5347

187

Will Barack Obama be nominated for a Golden Globe or Oscar in the next three years [2024, 2025, and 2026]?

Dec 11, 4:19 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

18.22%chance

271656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2124

444

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Mar 14, 10:02 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

30.83%chance

351372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

622

Best Podcast Golden Globe—first winner?

May 10, 7:19 PMJan 10, 8:12 PM

3780

OptionProbability

Other

This American Life

Conan O'Brien Needs a Friend

Call Her Daddy

Joe Rogan

The Daily (NYT)

SmartLess

This Past Weekend (Theo Von)

Good Hang with Amy Poehler

The Dwarkesh Podcast

62

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

2

How many Golden Strawberries will I have in Celeste this time next year?

May 15, 11:06 PMMay 15, 1:59 PM

4631

Will Steph Curry end his career having only played for the Golden Stare Warriors?

Aug 18, 11:02 PMAug 19, 3:59 AM

92.93%chance

13601

OptionVotes

NO

YES

491

83

What is the "golden orb" found in deep see by NOAA?

Sep 8, 7:02 AMSep 15, 9:59 PM

17560

OptionProbability

Other

Egg case of a fish

Sponge

Jellyfish

44

30

15

11

Will a new Golden Sun game be released before 2026?

Aug 12, 5:13 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

6.31%chance

7376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

463

66

Will a new Golden Sun game be released before 2027?

Aug 12, 5:14 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

32.37%chance

346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

87

Will the Golden State Valkyries make it to the WNBA playoffs in their first season?

May 15, 2:07 AMNov 1, 3:59 AM

43.26%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will England’s golden generation win a major international trophy?

May 2, 3:56 PMJul 10, 5:59 AM

46.73%chance

17

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

94

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