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Prediction markets for Good One Productions

[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?

Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

20.52%chance

3412373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19679

5082

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9916

2845

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

Will I touch a “2025” penny in 2025?

Feb 10, 7:02 PMJan 1, 8:05 AM

49.23%chance

151636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

985

Will I touch a “2026” penny in 2026?

Feb 10, 7:57 PMJan 1, 8:05 AM

28.28%chance

10861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1593

628

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59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

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Mar 13, 4:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.38%chance

14303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

54

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Nov 19, 8:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

58.48%chance

4253

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

843

Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?

Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

Will Kernel expand into at least two other cities by end of 2025?

Dec 11, 11:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.23%chance

245

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YES

NO

145

69

Will Billie Eilish release a song without Finneas’ production by the end of 2025?

Sep 27, 1:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.09%chance

440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

78

Will Hazbin Hotel S2 release before the next episode of The Amazing Digital Circus

Jul 12, 12:03 AMMar 12, 11:53 PM

50.5%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

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