Google Ads News

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81%chance

496718482

OptionVotes

YES

16300

14169

OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?

Feb 11, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.58%chance

13613104

OptionVotes

YES

1406

711

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

Dec 8, 7:05 PMDec 8, 6:54 PM

218752

OptionProbability

By Jan 1, 2028

By Jan 1, 2027

By Dec 1, 2026

By Nov 1, 2026

By Oct 1, 2026

By Sep 1, 2026

By Aug 1, 2026

By Jul 1, 2026

By May 1, 2026

By Jun 1, 2026

By Apr 1, 2026

By Jan 1, 2026

By Feb 1, 2026

By Mar 1, 2026

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.58%chance

193559

OptionVotes

YES

2640

380

Will the Justice Department win its antitrust suit against Google?

Jan 24, 6:00 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

15.67%chance

262458

OptionVotes

YES

1818

739

Will Google look substantially different as a company in 36 months?

May 10, 11:42 AMMay 1, 11:31 AM

14.49%chance

221933

OptionVotes

YES

2429

412

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

Dec 19, 9:33 PMJul 18, 5:59 AM

12574

OptionProbability

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m)

Office Clerks, General (2022 value: 2.5m)

Customer Service Representatives (2022 value: 2.9m)

Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive (2022 value: 1.8m)

Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks (2022 value: 1.6m)

Retail Salespersons (2022 value: 3.6m)

Fast Food and Counter Workers (2022 value: 3.3m)

Cashiers (2022 value: 3.3m)

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand (2022 value: 2.9m)

Stockers and Order Fillers (2022 value: 2.8m)

Waiters and Waitresses (2022 value: 2.1m)

Software Developers (2022 value: 1.5m)

Home Health and Personal Care Aides (2022 value: 3.5m)

General and Operations Managers (2022 value: 3.4m)

Registered Nurses (2022 value: 3.1m)

Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners (2022 value: 2.1m)

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers (2022 value: 1.5m)

Maintenance and Repair Workers, General (2022 value: 1.5m)

Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:08 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

25%chance

15412

OptionVotes

YES

173

When will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?

Jul 28, 11:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3369

OptionProbability

2027/2028

2025/2026

2029/2030

After 2030

2023/2024

Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?

Mar 16, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.18%chance

11227

OptionVotes

YES

131

In what year will the Google Pixel release a version with the next standard connector adopted after USB-C?

May 7, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7153

OptionProbability

Other

2031

2030

2029

2026

2027

2028

2025

Will Google add AI image generation as an option to Google Images by the end of 2026?

Sep 25, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.06%chance

8118

OptionVotes

YES

639

571

Google Ads News

Prediction markets for Google Ads

Prediction markets for Google Ads

Prediction markets for Google Ads

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Will the Justice Department win its antitrust suit against Google?

Will Google look substantially different as a company in 36 months?

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026

When will the EU Commission's investigation into Google's AdTech business end?

Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?

In what year will the Google Pixel release a version with the next standard connector adopted after USB-C?

Will Google add AI image generation as an option to Google Images by the end of 2026?

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