OptionProbability
DeepMind
OpenAI
Other
Anthropic
Elon's X.AI company
The US Government (DARPA or Similar Org)
The Chinese Communist Party
DeepSeek
A single individual not listed here
Google Brain
IBM
Microsoft
31
26
16
12
6
4
3
2
1
0
US Government
xAI
people not employed by a company
Communist Party of China
Meta
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
Nvidia
Tesla
eleutherai
character.ai
microsoft
google brain
None of the above
Keen
39
14
11
10
5
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2640
380
1393
720
169
59