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Meta’s Superintelligence Lab Loses Eight Employees Including Rishabh Agarwal and Chaya Nayak Amid Billion-Dollar Hiring Spree

Meta’s Superintelligence Lab Loses Eight Employees Including Rishabh Agarwal and Chaya Nayak Amid Billion-Dollar Hiring Spree

17

7 months ago

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Sep 5, 2:45 AMSep 12, 4:59 AM

21822758

OptionProbability

DeepMind

OpenAI

Other

Anthropic

Elon's X.AI company

The US Government (DARPA or Similar Org)

The Chinese Communist Party

DeepSeek

A single individual not listed here

Google Brain

IBM

Microsoft

31

26

16

12

6

4

3

2

1

0

0

0

Which company will create AGI first?

Dec 7, 7:13 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

734384

OptionProbability

DeepMind

OpenAI

Anthropic

US Government

xAI

people not employed by a company

Communist Party of China

Other

Meta

Safe Superintelligence (SSI)

DeepSeek

Nvidia

Tesla

eleutherai

character.ai

microsoft

google brain

None of the above

Keen

39

14

11

10

10

5

5

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.58%chance

193559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2640

380

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.09%chance

151045

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1393

720

Will major tech company announce functional brain-computer interface able to read complex human thoughts by end of 2030?

Jun 15, 9:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26%chance

4223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

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