OptionProbability
Anthropic
OpenAI
DeepMind
Other
The US Government (DARPA or Similar Org)
Elon's X.AI company
The Chinese Communist Party
DeepSeek
A single individual not listed here
Google Brain
IBM
Microsoft
30
23
18
14
7
4
2
1
0
US Government
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
Communist Party of China
people not employed by a company
N/A
Meta
xAI
Nvidia
Tesla
eleutherai
character.ai
microsoft
google brain
None of the above
Keen
26
17
12
11
8
6
OptionVotes
YES
NO
3264
307
1227
818
166
60