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Prediction markets for Google Ventures

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.9%chance

316987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4412

227

Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?

Nov 20, 8:19 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

68.89%chance

261921

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?

Aug 8, 1:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.04%chance

201530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2066

1937

By when will Demis Hassabis leave Google?

Aug 9, 2:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8833

OptionProbability

None of these options

EOY 2028

EOY 2027

EOY 2026

51

50

40

10

Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?

Aug 10, 10:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.19%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Is this "savage" takedown of Jose Luis Ricon actually savage?

Dec 11, 8:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10

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