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Prediction markets for Government of Canada

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?

Jan 26, 6:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.08%chance

239569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2734

375

Canada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:47 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

6.27%chance

288492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3871

259

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.31%chance

93929

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

954

Will Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?

Jan 22, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.7%chance

143139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

936

How many hectares will burn in forest fires in Canada during 2026?

Jun 23, 1:13 PMNov 28, 11:59 PM

61286

OptionProbability

1 - 1.99

5 - 5.99

2 - 2.99

3 - 3.99

0 - 0.99

4 - 4.99

6 - 7.50

7.51 - 8.99

9 - 11.99

12 - 14.99

15 - 18.496

Above 18.496

18

14

11

11

10

9

5

5

5

5

5

3

Will there still be at least three Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

May 8, 12:08 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

95.51%chance

131007

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1795

922

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

28.84%chance

5705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1571

637

Will all Five Eyes countries be governed by red parties before the end of Trump’s second term?

Apr 28, 10:24 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

38.58%chance

15583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1143

899

If I remain living in Canada, will I be subject to any government sanction on speech before 2027?

Mar 27, 12:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.21%chance

7494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

600

97

Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

May 8, 12:07 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

75.32%chance

11201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

981

Will there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?

Jan 30, 1:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.85%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

902

Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?

Feb 1, 11:40 AMDec 17, 11:59 PM

9.95%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

999

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