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Prediction markets for Government of Canada

Will any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?

Jan 26, 6:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.99%chance

269739

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2745

374

Canada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029

Jan 4, 7:47 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM

7.53%chance

308572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3509

286

Will Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?

Jan 22, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.62%chance

204716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1322

756

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.31%chance

93929

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

954

Will all Five Eyes countries be governed by red parties before the end of Trump’s second term?

Apr 28, 10:24 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

40%chance

191926

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

923

If I remain living in Canada, will I be subject to any government sanction on speech before 2027?

Mar 27, 12:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.01%chance

11699

OptionVotes

YES

NO

618

96

Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?

Jul 10, 1:54 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

14.31%chance

19601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1148

940

Chinese EVs manufactured in Canada?

Apr 2, 3:04 AMApr 9, 3:01 AM

48.76%chance

12481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

808

Will Canada raise its 2027 international-student arrivals target above 150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Apr 21, 4:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

33.81%chance

2475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1399

715

Will the US threaten to attack Canada before 2027?

Aug 26, 10:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.38%chance

9403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?

Jan 30, 1:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.98%chance

7319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

960

Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

May 8, 12:07 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

75.32%chance

11201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

981

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