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Prediction markets for Government of India

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

497048

OptionProbability

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Other (10m+ deaths)

Worldwide Pandemic

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

57

34

32

14

12

10

8

Will the Third Modi Government fall?

Jun 10, 6:47 AMJun 1, 6:29 PM

12.67%chance

254438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2603

438

Western major media calls Tibet Xizang before 2027?

Feb 25, 11:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.13%chance

71103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2074

491

Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026?

Jan 8, 12:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.27%chance

8526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

474

21

Will India send astronauts to the moon before 2040?

Oct 19, 1:26 AMOct 18, 4:59 AM

74.59%chance

12520

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

123

Which Money & Macro megatrends for 2026 will be correct?

Dec 25, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11292

OptionProbability

China will dominate the global economy.

The AI bubble will NOT pop.

The trade war will broaden.

More and more governments will hit a debt limit.

China will blockade Taiwan.

72

63

59

44

5

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

53.68%chance

5220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1145

982

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

7150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

Will Kazatomprom uranium output allocated to India exceed 60% on July 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:14 PMJul 1, 6:11 PM

53.22%chance

290

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

94

Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.5 billion USD on April 1, 2027?

Mar 2, 6:15 PMApr 1, 6:14 PM

33.78%chance

140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

Will the Canada-India uranium supply agreement size exceed 2.0 billion USD on April 1, 2027?

Mar 2, 6:14 PMApr 1, 6:14 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

will India reduce its dependency on crude oil imports to below 50% of its total crude oil requirements within 10 years?

Apr 4, 11:45 AMApr 4, 11:40 AM

17.69%chance

23

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

85

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