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Prediction markets for GPA

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1510936

OptionProbability

None

(0, 200]

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

61

23

8

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

If I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?

Feb 26, 7:46 AMMay 26, 6:04 AM

25.22%chance

151255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1722

581

Will I get a GPA more than 3.25 in Fall 26

Sep 2, 8:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.83%chance

9676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

315

32

How many A's will I get this semester?

Oct 21, 1:18 AMDec 18, 11:59 PM

5417

OptionProbability

3

2

1

4

0

29

20

18

17

16

Will I get accepted by these colleges if i apply?

Oct 14, 10:00 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

11388

OptionProbability

Any Ivy League (RD)

UChicago (EDI)

UChicago (EDII)

MIT (EA or RD)

64

28

28

24

Will Google Discontinue Google Pay (GPay) in India and replace by Google Wallet (Just like in US) in or before 2026

Nov 20, 3:37 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.21%chance

3171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

52

Will Claire Wang get a GPA of more than 4.9/5.0 at MIT?

Sep 14, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.71%chance

9132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

63

Who will hire me?

Sep 5, 12:56 AMJun 2, 6:59 AM

6109

OptionProbability

West Coast based company

East Coast based company

Big Tech (Subjective)

I change career paths or don't get hired

I go to grad school

Any AI Startup

50

50

50

44

34

34

What will be my GPA for fall 2026? (1st semester)

Sep 22, 6:05 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

363

OptionProbability

9 - 95.99

8 - 8.99

9.6 - 9.99

70 - 7.99

10.00

6 - 6.99

29

24

21

9

9

8

Will Claire Wang get at least one class with a GPA of less than 3.5/5.0 at MIT?

Feb 10, 3:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.18%chance

440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

103

Will I graduate University with a GPA > 3.8?

Dec 10, 1:17 AMJul 2, 12:16 AM

46.14%chance

415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

93

Will the Bradley Voytek lab @UCSD admit a student with a GPA below 3.0 by EOY2029?

Sep 21, 5:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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