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Prediction markets for Grab

Who will be the 2026 Democratic candidate for NY-12?

Sep 3, 5:24 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

333563

OptionProbability

Micah Lasher

Alex Bores

Cameron Kasky

Jack Schlossberg

Eric Bottcher

George Conway

Other

Liam Elkind

Andrew Cuomo

49

20

9

7

4

4

4

1

1

Will the December 2024 Israeli invasion of Syria involve a permanent land grab?

Dec 9, 6:53 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

96.66%chance

173016

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1896

175

Will Ron DeSantis run in the 2026 US Senate Race in Florida?

Nov 12, 3:47 PMNov 2, 4:59 AM

16.37%chance

82616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2260

442

Will it become common to carry separate devices to enable AI listening to self outputs by mid 2026

Oct 1, 6:10 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

20%chance

121330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Sep 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

23.74%chance

241179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1280

886

Is Robin Hanson's "Grabby Aliens" model basically correct?

Jan 5, 7:04 PMJan 12, 10:59 PM

32.46%chance

22783

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1287

823

Will someone try to grab Donald Trump by his pussy/groin by EOY2028?

Jan 13, 7:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.33%chance

7500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

470

21

Will any AI model score above 95% on GRAB by the end of 2025?

Mar 31, 8:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.06%chance

10286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

609

586

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

41.68%chance

4144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

85

Is 7A+ harder than marathon?

Oct 25, 9:50 AMDec 31, 9:06 AM

77.14%chance

6135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

54

[Marked for Death] If the Akatsuki win the necromancy race, when will it happen?

Jan 21, 7:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4121

OptionProbability

First half of 1072

Latter half of 1071

Latter half of 1072

First half of 1073

Latter half of 1073

Other

First half of 1071

29

14

14

14

14

12

4

Successful Mercury landing till 2040?

Apr 22, 7:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.15%chance

342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

100

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