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Prediction markets for Grab

Who will be the 2026 Democratic candidate for NY-12?

Sep 3, 5:24 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

446615

OptionProbability

Micah Lasher

Alex Bores

Jack Schlossberg

George Conway

Eric Bottcher

Other

Andrew Cuomo

Cameron Kasky

Liam Elkind

40

38

14

3

2

2

1

0

0

Will Ron DeSantis run in the 2026 US Senate Race in Florida?

Nov 12, 3:47 PMNov 2, 4:59 AM

4.53%chance

104765

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4589

218

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

Jan 4, 11:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.54%chance

293679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2868

1147

Will it become common to carry separate devices to enable AI listening to self outputs by mid 2026

Oct 1, 6:10 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

8%chance

152721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3391

295

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Sep 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

24%chance

241210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

891

Is Robin Hanson's "Grabby Aliens" model basically correct?

Jan 5, 7:04 PMJan 12, 10:59 PM

40%chance

241197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

947

Will someone try to grab Donald Trump by his pussy/groin by EOY2028?

Jan 13, 7:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.84%chance

7704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

343

29

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

[Marked for Death] If the Gōketsu win the necromancy race, when will it happen?

Jan 21, 7:36 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2135

OptionProbability

First half of 1072

Latter half of 1071

Latter half of 1072

First half of 1073

Latter half of 1073

Other

First half of 1071

29

14

14

14

14

12

3

[Marked for Death] If the Akatsuki win the necromancy race, when will it happen?

Jan 21, 7:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4121

OptionProbability

First half of 1072

Latter half of 1071

Latter half of 1072

First half of 1073

Latter half of 1073

Other

First half of 1071

29

14

14

14

14

12

4

Successful Mercury landing till 2040?

Apr 22, 7:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.15%chance

342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

100

[Marked for Death] Will the Gōketsu necromancy project succeed first?

Jan 21, 8:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.19%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

65

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