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Prediction markets for Grab

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

Jan 4, 11:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.28%chance

313849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2338

406

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Sep 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

23.07%chance

271296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1313

876

Is Robin Hanson's "Grabby Aliens" model basically correct?

Jan 5, 7:04 PMJan 12, 10:59 PM

40%chance

241197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

947

Will someone try to grab Donald Trump by his pussy/groin by EOY2028?

Jan 13, 7:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.84%chance

7704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

343

29

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Is 7A+ harder than marathon?

Oct 25, 9:50 AMDec 31, 9:06 AM

75.27%chance

6144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

174

57

[Marked for Death] If the Gōketsu win the necromancy race, when will it happen?

Jan 21, 7:36 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2135

OptionProbability

First half of 1072

Latter half of 1071

Latter half of 1072

First half of 1073

Latter half of 1073

Other

First half of 1071

29

14

14

14

14

12

3

[Marked for Death] If the Akatsuki win the necromancy race, when will it happen?

Jan 21, 7:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4121

OptionProbability

First half of 1072

Latter half of 1071

Latter half of 1072

First half of 1073

Latter half of 1073

Other

First half of 1071

29

14

14

14

14

12

4

Successful Mercury landing till 2040?

Apr 22, 7:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.15%chance

342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

100

[Marked for Death] Will the Gōketsu necromancy project succeed first?

Jan 21, 8:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.19%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

65

Would Alexey Guzey win a cage match/fight against Jose Luis Ricon (JLR)?

May 2, 4:10 AMDec 31, 5:10 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

What was Elon referring to in texts to Ashley St Clair regarding 'anomaly in the matrix', 'not...on...chessboard'?

May 20, 2:42 PMMay 27, 2:19 PM

40

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