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Prediction markets for Grade

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.49%chance

215388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3796

264

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Jan 3, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.49%chance

463997

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

838

At any point of time in 2027 a single consumer-grade GPU hits a MSRP of $20,000 USD

Jan 2, 7:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.79%chance

162171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1655

606

Will an AI be able to generate industrial grade CAD parts by a prompt or an annotated draft before 2027 ?

Feb 27, 1:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.08%chance

371631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

842

Will U.S. production of battery-grade lithium exceed 10% of global supply by the end of 2030?

Dec 10, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.2%chance

181118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Waymo achieves aviation-grade safety at 2 billion miles with 0 at-fault fatalities?

Sep 27, 7:46 AMJan 1, 8:45 AM

52.83%chance

5546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

945

Will the majority of US high school standardized tests be administered and graded by AI systems by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:42 AMJan 7, 5:59 AM

39.06%chance

8320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

Will a Top 50 US public school district officially mandate or adopt an AI assistant for core grading by June 2027?

Jul 14, 11:03 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

27.84%chance

798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 3500 USD/t on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:29 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 2000 USD/t on September 30, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:29 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will there be a consumer grade solution for PC cooling via oil submersion similar to liquidstack, by the year 2030?

Jan 15, 2:40 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will the second ascentionist of Elias Iagnemma's Exodia agree with the V18 (9A+) grade?

May 31, 7:09 AMMay 31, 7:06 AM

50.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

995

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