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Prediction markets for Grand Base

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?

Oct 4, 11:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.58%chance

7517350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1923

47

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?

Oct 1, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.82%chance

5110257

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1646

86

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

May 24, 1:59 AMMay 5, 3:59 AM

63.04%chance

796801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14151

8635

Will the Audi works Formula 1 team win a Grand Prix in 2026, its first season?

Jun 11, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.24%chance

264518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2360

424

In what year will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed?

Jun 21, 6:02 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

62678

OptionProbability

2025-2026

2027-2028

2029-2030

2031-2032

2033-2034

2035-2036

2037-2038

2039-2040

40

38

4

4

4

4

4

2

Will Pogacar or Vingegaard be stripped of any grand tour title before 2027?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.17%chance

112065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2397

100

2026 Winter Olympics: Figure Skating Gold Medal Winner (W)

Jan 12, 12:12 PMFeb 16, 11:59 PM

3464

OptionProbability

Alysa LIU (USA)

Kaori SAKAMOTO (JPN)

Adeliia PETROSIAN (AIN)

Amber GLENN (USA)

Other

22

22

21

20

14

WIll Jerome Powell Be found guilty if indicted?

Jan 12, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.8%chance

13460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

Will WW3 happen before GTA7?

Dec 1, 2:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.28%chance

13366

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1120

519

How many grand slams will there be in Major League Baseball in 2026?

Sep 29, 4:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

180

OptionProbability

110 or more

120 or more

130 or more

140 or more

150 or more

160 or more

83

50

50

50

34

13

Will there be a Grand Theft Auto or Midtown Madness clone based on the real world in Google Maps by 2028?

Oct 4, 2:35 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

56.57%chance

745

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

146

WILL THERE BE A DEEPFAKE OF JOSE LUIS RICON BEING MODDED INTO A GTA6 PLAYABLE CHARACTER BY EOY2035?

Dec 7, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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