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Prediction markets for Green United

Will wokeness peak in the United States in the 2020s?

Mar 12, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.07%chance

304116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3912

484

Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?

Mar 23, 11:51 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM

13.11%chance

152683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2449

111

UK Labour builds how many homes by July 4, 2029?

May 17, 11:09 PMJul 3, 11:59 PM

82279

OptionProbability

1,000,000 - 1,249,999

750,000 - 999,999

1,250,000 - 1,499,999

Below 750,000

1,500,000 - 1,749,999

1,750,000 - 1,999,999

2,000,000 - 2,250,000

Above 2,250,000

28

23

16

15

6

4

4

4

Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?

Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

151650

OptionProbability

Other

Robert Jenrick

Suella Braverman

Richard Tice

Party ceases to exist

Danny Kruger

Lee Anderson

Zia Yusuf

James McMurdock

Rupert Lowe

27

21

17

7

6

6

5

5

3

2

Will Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029?

Mar 17, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.25%chance

9579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

425

24

Will Rick Wang qualify for USNCO nationals 2027?

May 24, 7:09 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

11.53%chance

5312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

277

36

Highest vote share next UK general election

Mar 16, 7:34 AMAug 15, 6:32 AM

5229

OptionProbability

Reform

Labour

Green

Liberal Democrats

Conservative

Other

30

29

22

7

6

6

Will any OpenAI models be restricted to US in 2026?

Jun 13, 1:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.82%chance

11218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

Will any politician be elected on an AI gain-of-function moratorium platform?

Apr 9, 9:50 PMApr 9, 10:59 PM

38%chance

438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

81

The Green Bay Packers will make at least 30 field goals during the 2026 NFL regular season.

Jun 23, 4:54 PMJan 11, 11:59 PM

49%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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