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Prediction markets for Green United

Will wokeness peak in the United States in the 2020s?

Mar 12, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.07%chance

304116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3912

484

UK Labour builds how many homes by July 4, 2029?

May 17, 11:09 PMJul 3, 11:59 PM

51927

OptionProbability

Below 750,000

750,000 - 999,999

1,000,000 - 1,249,999

1,250,000 - 1,499,999

1,500,000 - 1,749,999

1,750,000 - 1,999,999

2,000,000 - 2,250,000

Above 2,250,000

22

22

19

19

6

4

4

4

Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?

Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

141630

OptionProbability

Other

Robert Jenrick

Suella Braverman

Richard Tice

Party ceases to exist

Danny Kruger

Lee Anderson

Zia Yusuf

James McMurdock

Rupert Lowe

27

21

17

7

6

6

5

5

3

2

Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?

Mar 23, 11:51 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM

23%chance

81263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2009

752

Will the number of employment-based green cards awarded in 2025 be lower than 160,000?

Nov 8, 11:39 AMOct 2, 2:59 AM

82.64%chance

8216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1185

931

Highest vote share next UK general election

Mar 16, 7:34 AMAug 15, 6:32 AM

5209

OptionProbability

Labour

Reform

Green

Conservative

Liberal Democrats

Other

38

26

14

8

8

7

Will Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029?

Mar 17, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.69%chance

490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Will any politician be elected on an AI gain-of-function moratorium platform?

Apr 9, 9:50 PMApr 9, 10:59 PM

38%chance

438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

81

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