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Prediction markets for Greenfield

Will Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

42.66%chance

74730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11593

8626

Who will be elected mayor of NYC in 2029?

Aug 28, 5:26 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

113006

OptionProbability

Zohran Mamdani

Jessica Tisch

Other

Julie Menin

Curtis Sliwa

John Chell

Sid Rosenberg

Julie Samuels

Kenny Burgos

David Greenfield

Grace Lee

Crystal Hudson

Dan Goldman

Kathryn Garcia

Steve Fulop

Antonio Reynoso

Donovan Richards

68

9

7

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will Elon's Terafab produce a single chip before 2028?

Mar 25, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.29%chance

211908

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

691

Is the agent task horizon really increasing that fast on messy tasks?

Dec 4, 12:27 PMDec 5, 12:19 PM

30.6%chance

9644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1506

664

Will Indonesia's commissioned alumina refinery capacity exceed 15 Mt/yr on December 31, 2027?

May 4, 5:15 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

13.37%chance

2151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

49

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