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Prediction markets for Grey

Briahna Joy Grey took russian state-sponsored money. Strong Evidence presented before 2027.

Sep 14, 8:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.8%chance

124090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4451

225

Will CGP Grey live to be 100 years old?

Apr 4, 1:18 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22.48%chance

302960

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

785

Will CGP Grey write a book?

Jul 7, 11:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

60.97%chance

432450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

939

Will CGP Grey ever release another video in the Reservations series?

Jul 22, 1:34 AMMay 14, 6:59 AM

28.17%chance

111859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1597

626

Will Aubrey de Grey's 2022 Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Project "succeed" in its aims of finding an intervention that increases both mean and maximum lifespan of mice by at least 12 months?

Dec 24, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.4%chance

291532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1745

666

Will Aubrey de Grey get AIDS by 2035

Feb 12, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.46%chance

4445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

555

47

Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize?

Mar 20, 10:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.38%chance

14371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

942

Will my African Grey Parrot be alive at the beginning of 2030?

Oct 4, 4:13 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

85.06%chance

8168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

330

120

Will Sam altman have visible grey hair by eoy2028?

Jun 19, 11:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.33%chance

670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

81

What color will the ‘grey goo’ be when it inevitably destroys humanity?

Nov 5, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

160

OptionProbability

No one around to see it, invalid question

Grey

Green

Pink

Blue

Black

White

50

26

26

26

26

26

26

Will Aubrey de Grey be determined to have a higher concentration of microplastics in his brain than Peter Thiel?

Jan 7, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.89%chance

547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

177

104

Will Grey's Anatomy reach 26 or more seasons?

Mar 31, 3:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.55%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

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