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Prediction markets for Grey

Briahna Joy Grey took russian state-sponsored money. Strong Evidence presented before 2027.

Sep 14, 8:22 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.4%chance

123878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4663

214

Will CGP Grey live to be 100 years old?

Apr 4, 1:18 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22.48%chance

302960

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

785

Will CGP Grey write a book?

Jul 7, 11:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

60.97%chance

432450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

939

Will CGP Grey ever release another video in the Reservations series?

Jul 22, 1:34 AMMay 14, 6:59 AM

28.17%chance

111859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1597

626

Will Aubrey de Grey's 2022 Robust Mouse Rejuvenation Project "succeed" in its aims of finding an intervention that increases both mean and maximum lifespan of mice by at least 12 months?

Dec 24, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.4%chance

291532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1745

666

Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize?

Mar 20, 10:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.38%chance

14371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

942

Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027?

Mar 1, 9:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

6269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Will my African Grey Parrot be alive at the beginning of 2030?

Oct 4, 4:13 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

85.06%chance

8168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

330

120

Will Aubrey de Grey be dead before his 80th birthday?

Apr 18, 11:06 PMJan 1, 9:01 AM

36.44%chance

7130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

94

AI(machine intelligence) found to control Alien greys by 2050

Jun 7, 7:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.75%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

88

Will Aubrey de Grey be determined to have a higher concentration of microplastics in his brain than Peter Thiel?

Jan 7, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.89%chance

547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

177

104

Will Aubrey de Grey successfully impregnate a girl with his sperm?

Jan 7, 5:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.08%chance

339

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

109

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