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Top stories

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Authors

14

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Grok

Grok 5 (xAI) release date

Aug 8, 6:37 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

7334630

OptionProbability

Before August 2027

Before July 2027

Before June 2027

Before May 2027

Before April 2027

Before March 2027

Before February 2027

Before 2027

Before December 2026

Before November 2026

Before September 2025

Before October 2025

Before November 2025

Before December 2025

Before 2026

Before February 2026

Before March 2026

Before April 2026

Before May 2026

Before June 2026

Before July 2026

Before August 2026

Before September 2026

Before October 2026

82

76

74

72

66

53

43

15

4

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]

Jul 22, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.93%chance

4311109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3194

313

Will Grok 5 beat the best human team at League of Legends in 2026?

Nov 25, 7:34 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

4.83%chance

2210401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4439

225

Will Claude replace Grok on X in 2026?

May 7, 4:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.87%chance

518580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4984

201

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

Oct 10, 2:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.58%chance

395457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3087

327

Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?

Jan 30, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.78%chance

161094

OptionVotes

YES

NO

881

407

will x.ai move away from "Grok" branding in 2026?

Mar 1, 1:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.36%chance

6455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

537

19

Will Grok cause a disaster before 2030?

Jul 10, 5:51 PMJan 1, 6:35 PM

23.91%chance

10239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

Grok desktop app before June?

Nov 1, 6:42 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

76.21%chance

7190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

56

Will Legally Blonde 3 release before Grok 6?

Jul 12, 6:58 AMJul 13, 6:58 AM

29.37%chance

12103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

64

Will Grok create automated 2-page biographies of any Twitter user by EOY2026?

Jan 30, 5:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Will xAI release Grok 5 by December 6, 2026?

Nov 7, 2:11 AMDec 6, 11:59 PM

17.02%chance

27

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

70

Latest stories

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Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Law
AI Products
Business
Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings
Authors
14
1 year ago

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