Grok AI News

AI bypass coding entirely by EOY 2026?

Feb 15, 10:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.73%chance

2122172

OptionVotes

YES

2826

947

Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?

Mar 2, 8:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26%chance

7216343

OptionVotes

YES

1071

490

Elon Musk (props)

Mar 7, 12:23 PMMar 7, 12:23 PM

3512709

OptionProbability

Elon Musk publicly calls for pausing advanced AI development or joins a major AI safety treaty by December 31, 2026

Optimus Gen 3 revealed by June 30, 2026

Neuralink implants surpass 1,000 humans by December 31, 2026

Starship V3 reaches orbit by May 1, 2026

Grok Imagine #1 on Artificial Analysis video leaderboard end of March

xAI releases Grok 4.5 or Grok 5 by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits China by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits India by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits Norway by March 13, 2026

Starship V3 reaches orbit by March 13, 2026

Grok 4.2 reaches No.1 on LMArena Text leaderboard by March 13, 2026

Optimus Gen 3 available for public purchase before March 13, 2026

Cybercab available for public purchase before March 13 2026

AI bypass coding entirely by EOY 2027?

Feb 12, 2:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.47%chance

5211082

OptionVotes

YES

4157

241

Will Claude replace Grok on X in 2026?

May 7, 4:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.24%chance

486224

OptionVotes

YES

2811

356

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Feb 26, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.07%chance

275257

OptionVotes

YES

2989

335

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

Oct 10, 2:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.8%chance

365077

OptionVotes

YES

3049

331

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

May 7, 12:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

34.55%chance

131586

OptionVotes

YES

1376

727

will this tweet hold up: I predict that chess will be essentially fully solved (like checkers) within 10 years.

May 13, 4:45 PMMay 14, 6:59 AM

8.62%chance

251465

OptionVotes

YES

977

951

air traffic control integrated with grok by end of Trump admin?

Feb 5, 7:27 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

3.41%chance

12731

OptionVotes

YES

532

Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?

Oct 11, 4:16 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

29.88%chance

6532

OptionVotes

YES

1532

653

Will there be a sane right wing frontier model by 2028?

Jul 9, 2:19 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

40%chance

6336

OptionVotes

YES

122

Grok AI News

Prediction markets for Grok AI

Prediction markets for Grok AI

Prediction markets for Grok AI

AI bypass coding entirely by EOY 2026?

Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?

Elon Musk (props)

AI bypass coding entirely by EOY 2027?

Will Claude replace Grok on X in 2026?

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

will this tweet hold up: I predict that chess will be essentially fully solved (like checkers) within 10 years.

air traffic control integrated with grok by end of Trump admin?

Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?

Will there be a sane right wing frontier model by 2028?

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