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Prediction markets for Gross

Will a movie grossing >$3B be released by 2028?

Jan 23, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.58%chance

393425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1244

713

In what year will there be a film that surpasses Avatar as the highest grossing film worldwide?

Feb 16, 4:25 AMApr 21, 3:59 AM

233070

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2028

2026

2024

2025

57

14

14

13

1

1

What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?

Aug 10, 10:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

311918

OptionProbability

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Avengers: Doomsday

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Project Hail Mary

Other

Toy Story 5

The Odyssey

Minions 3

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Dune: Messiah

Shrek 5

Supergirl

32

17

14

8

8

7

4

2

2

2

2

2

Will a game programmed in Jai gross more than $10,000,000 before 2033?

Sep 25, 12:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.99%chance

171417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1044

851

Will a movie released in 2026 gross over 1 billion dollars?

Mar 9, 10:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98.08%chance

121326

OptionVotes

NO

YES

714

14

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear in a movie that grosses over $20M at the box office before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:47 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

18.39%chance

29941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

959

What will be the top 10 Worldwide grossing movies in 2026?

Nov 2, 5:06 PMApr 24, 10:59 PM

14933

OptionProbability

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Toy Story 5

Avengers: Doomsday

Dune: Messiah

Michael

Other

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Minions 3

The Odyssey

Project Hail Mary

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Supergirl

The Devil Wears Prada 2

97

93

92

89

88

87

86

83

59

58

36

26

8

Will GDH (Gross Domestic Healthspan) overtake GDP in relevance/importance/attention by 2050?

May 11, 9:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.8%chance

36922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

908

On May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?

Jan 17, 5:10 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

38.1%chance

16529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

778

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36.99%chance

8525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

975

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more than $1 Billion worldwide?

Mar 10, 2:35 PMMar 3, 1:29 PM

67.7%chance

9204

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

128

On May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time worldwide be a James Cameron movie?

Jan 17, 5:07 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

66.72%chance

8172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

88

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