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Prediction markets for Gross

What will be the top 10 grossing films in the US in 2025?

Jan 1, 6:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7047266

OptionProbability

Superman

Jurassic World: Rebirth

A Minecraft Movie

Lilo & Stitch

Sinners

Fantastic Four

How to Train Your Dragon

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Zootopia 2

Wicked: For Good

Tron: Ares

Captain America: Brave New World

F1 The Movie

Paddington in Peru

Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning

Thunderbolts*

Snow White

Ballerina

Smurfs

100

100

99

99

99

96

96

87

86

81

25

18

6

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will a movie grossing >$3B be released by 2028?

Jan 23, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.57%chance

373170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

997

989

Will a game programmed in Jai gross more than $10,000,000 before 2033?

Sep 25, 12:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.54%chance

161317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

751

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear in a movie that grosses over $20M at the box office before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:47 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

18.39%chance

29941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

959

Will GDH (Gross Domestic Healthspan) overtake GDP in relevance/importance/attention by 2050?

May 11, 9:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.8%chance

36922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

908

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?

Mar 10, 2:33 PMMar 3, 1:29 PM

49.69%chance

12675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

293

212

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup gross more money than the 2022 FIFA World Cup (inflation adjusted)?

Aug 14, 3:31 AMDec 14, 4:59 AM

87.62%chance

15674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1395

908

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36.99%chance

8525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

975

On May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?

Jan 17, 5:10 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

27.54%chance

14379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1090

957

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide than the original after one year of its release?

Sep 11, 4:23 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

39.04%chance

7174

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

88

On May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time worldwide be a James Cameron movie?

Jan 17, 5:07 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

63.81%chance

7162

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

91

Will Denzel Washington break his record of highest grossing film by EOY 2026? ($300M, Gladiator 2)

Dec 4, 8:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.41%chance

970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

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