OptionVotes
YES
NO
37612
4653
2708
369
3725
268
OptionProbability
Observing a temporary ceasefire with US & Israel
At peace with US & Israel
The de-facto head of state is generally understood to be more friendly to US interests than Ali Khamenei
It has formally agreed not to pursue nuclear weapons
Occupied by (a coalition including) the US
The de-facto head of state is neither endorsed nor selected by either the Guardian Council or Assembly of Experts
There is no de-facto head of state
Actively transitioning (or already transitioned) to a non-Islamic Republic form of government
Failed state / anarchy
In an ongoing civil war
63
55
28
23
22
20
18
14
10
153
65
