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Prediction markets for Hachette

Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?

Aug 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

60%chance

401996

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

724

Joe Biden's Presidential Memoir: How many copies will be sold in the first year?

Jul 24, 2:31 AMJan 2, 3:29 AM

51458

OptionProbability

1M-1.5M

0-500k

1.5M-2M

Other

2M-2.5M

500k-1M

2.5M-3M

3M-3.5M

3.5M-4M

17

15

15

14

12

9

8

6

5

Will Hachette v. Internet Archive be heard by the Supreme Court?

Mar 25, 4:26 AMJan 1, 1:00 PM

20.23%chance

22711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1323

806

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