Harris Poll News

What will AOC do in 2028?

Jan 30, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

142028

OptionProbability

Run for SENATOR

Run for PRESIDENT

Run for NEITHER

Run for BOTH

Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Democratic primaries?

Mar 9, 4:26 AMJun 2, 4:59 AM

281936

OptionProbability

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Pete Buttigieg

Jon Ossoff

Ro Khanna

Ruben Gallego

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

JB Pritzker

Tim Walz

Andy Beshear

Raphael Warnock

Kamala Harris

Gretchen Whitmer

Chris Murphy

Amy Klobuchar

Roy Cooper

Cory Booker

Stephen A. Smith

How will Trump v. Selzer resolve? [Iowa Lawsuit over Selzer's Pre-Election Poll]

Dec 19, 12:46 AMMay 3, 3:59 AM

8543

OptionProbability

Selzer Wins: Court grants Selzer's motion to dismiss or finds her not liable for any damages.

Parties Settle

Other

Trump Wins: Court finds Selzer liable for any amount of damages.

Democrats win 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?

Dec 21, 9:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.8%chance

10416

OptionVotes

YES

201

Will there be an Asian-American Democratic Nominee before 2060?

Feb 24, 5:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.78%chance

9205

OptionVotes

YES

176

163

Will there be an Asian-American President of the United States before 2060?

Feb 24, 5:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.7%chance

554

OptionVotes

YES

158

150

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211

OptionProbability

Negative

Positive

Agnostic/Neutral

HPMOR after/before Harry Potter

Sep 14, 4:56 PM

560

Knowing Trump won the popular vote by 1.5%, how would Nikki Haley have performed had she been the Republican nominee?

Nov 21, 6:45 PM

150

Which election forecast is modeling uncertainty better?

Sep 19, 8:10 AM

Harris Poll News

Prediction markets for Harris Poll

Prediction markets for Harris Poll

Prediction markets for Harris Poll

What will AOC do in 2028?

Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Democratic primaries?

How will Trump v. Selzer resolve? [Iowa Lawsuit over Selzer's Pre-Election Poll]

Democrats win 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?

Will there be an Asian-American Democratic Nominee before 2060?

Will there be an Asian-American President of the United States before 2060?

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

HPMOR after/before Harry Potter

Knowing Trump won the popular vote by 1.5%, how would Nikki Haley have performed had she been the Republican nominee?

Which election forecast is modeling uncertainty better?

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