OptionProbability
The Jews control at least one nation's government
The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger
Imane Khelif is intersex
Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.
Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)
The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015
DHMO in the water supply
Dream faked the Manhunt videos
Osama bin Laden didn't act alone
Santa is rigged
That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
√-1 isn't real
Smartphones listen in on private conversations
The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war
Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others
Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island
Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation
Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team
US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices
The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that the Self-Indication Assumption is true.
Groundhog Day is rigged
That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam
Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers
Gamergate was right
The NBA rigs the draft lottery
The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West
Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)
China was not genociding Uyghurs
Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself
Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.
Annie Altman's abuse claims
The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin
John McAfee didn't kill himself
At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents
The Church and elites deliberately suppressed and distorted the more Gnostic message of Jesus Christ.
An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips
Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does
Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations
Major deaths, terror, and tragedy events are routinely hoaxes per Miles Mathis.
FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war
The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only
The Clintons assasinated their rivals
This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba
Eliezer wrote The Erogamer
The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)
Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage
Trump and Netanyahu had Charlie Kirk killed to take control of TPUSA
China made covid 19 in a lab
Rory Stewart worked for MI6
At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population
Eating your veggies is bad for your health
The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022
The article "Deliberate Errors" documenting winks connecting Apollo and Kubrick films is correct, because Kubrick played a role in filming some of the Apollo missions.
Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT
As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator
Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays
My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.
Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)
@strutheo is @notrickspringfield
Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.
Dead Internet theory
Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency
Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.
lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀
The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship
The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.
Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen
Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.
The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent
A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time
Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars
Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that Trump/Musk model the first/second beast of Revelation.
The CIA killed JFK
Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.
The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior
The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth
Sue Gray was a spy
Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy
We live in an ancestor simulation per Nick Bostrom.
The 9/11 terror attack date is meaningfully connected to Ernest Martin's theory that Jesus was born on September 11, 3 BC rather than a coincidence.
Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)
covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese
The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop
Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real
Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.
The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up
Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election
Epstein was alive as of Jan 2026, but dead in the meantime since his "suicide"
"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024
Princess Diana was assassinated
The NFL is rigged
Jeffrey Epstein is still alive
Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator
US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily
Harold Holt murdered
Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle
COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health
A cure for cancer has already been found
Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot
South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023
Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)
The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws
Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem
Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")
Ogopogo is real
QAnon
Exercise is bad for your health
A support network of close friendships is bad for your health
Israel killed JFK
Bush did 9/11
Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)
Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so
carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming
Allen Iverson invented A.I.
The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around
Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency
Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice
Epstein was still alive as of Jan 2026
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)
QR codes are satanic
Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics
The Hellenistic civilization invented USB
Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese
South Sudan has had nukes since 2023
Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme
Trump devolved the government in anticipation of 2020 election fraud and replaced Biden with an actor wearing a mask.
China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab
Human didnt evolve from apes
Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health
Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension
Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina
Jerry Sandusky is innocent.
Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight
Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization
Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic
xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition
@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie
Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations
Rationalussy isn't real.
Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.
Tupac is still alive in 2024
Bielefeld does not exist
The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen
Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first
The Mandella Effect in general is real
The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab
The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.
US government is harboring aliens
Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent
Birds aren't real
climate change isn't human caused
Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil
The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier
Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP
Climate change isn’t real
The moon landing was fake
The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024
You personally live in Truman Show style captivity
The Romance languages are not descended from Latin
The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization
The 9/11 terror attack was a justified false flag to secure a weapon of mass destruction (destabalizing religious text and/or supertechnology) at the tomb of Gilgamesh.
The illuminati runs the world
*All* health care is net negative for health
Q is Putin
Michelle Obama is a man
Brazilian money is not real
Yeti is real or similar creature
Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina
The earth is a dodecahedron
Skibidi Toilet is real
It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears
Africa isn't real
HIV doesn’t cause AIDS
Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team
There is no female orgasm
The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.
The earth is flat
*All* vaccines are net negative for health
End of the world in 2012
Earth is hollow
Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.
Finland isn't real
Australia isn't real.
5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on
Nuclear weapons have never existed
Flossing is bad for your health
Brushing your teeth is bad for your health
Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person
The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.
Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001
91
90
88
87
84
82
80
78
76
74
74
71
70
67
63
59
55
53
52
52
50
45
43
42
42
40
38
37
37
36
35
35
34
34
33
33
33
32
31
30
30
30
29
29
28
28
28
28
28
28
27
27
27
26
26
25
24
24
23
23
23
22
21
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Lee Harvey Oswald (acting alone)
CIA
Other US government agency or official
Cuban exiles (anti-Castro)
Mafia
Other
Cuban government
KGB / Soviets
LBJ
US military
FBI
Other US leftwing group
Other US rightwing group
US company
Foreign company
Mossad / Israeli government
Other foreign government
Aliens / Illuminati / lizard people
77
15
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
NO
YES
18647
5382
OptionProbability
Jordan Pickford
Harry Kane
Bukayo Saka
Jude Bellingham
Phil Foden
Cole Palmer
Declan Rice
Marc Guehi
Dean Henderson
Elliot Anderson
Eberechi Eze
Morgan Rogers
Anthony Gordon
John Stones
Ezri Konsa
Noni Madueke
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Reece James
Adam Wharton
Ollie Watkins
Nick Pope
James Trafford
Levi Colwill
Marcus Rashford
Trent Alexander-Arnold
Conor Gallagher
Ben White
Dominic Solanke
Gibbs-White
Curtis Jones
Jarrad Branthwaite
Valentino Livramento
Jarrod Bowen
Lewis Hall
Kobbie Mainoo
Jordan Henderson
Liam Delap
Ivan Toney
Harry Maguire
Aaron Ramsdale
Dan Burn
Rico Lewis
Luke Shaw
Ethan Nwaneri
Trevoh Chalobah
Harvey Elliott
Jarell Quansah
Jack Grealish
Jamie Jermaine Bynoe-Gittens
Ben Chilwell
Joe Gomez
Angel Gomes
James Maddison
Mason Mount
James McAtee
Jobe Bellingham
Archie Gray
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyler Dibling
Michael Cooper
Jacob Ramsey
Kyle Walker
Harvey Barnes
Harwood-Bellis
Alex Scott
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Djed Spence
Max Kilman
Sam Johnstone
James Beadle
Callum Wilson
Lewis Dunk
Edward Nketiah
Jadon Sancho
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
Jack Hinshelwood
Tyrone Mings
Ross Barkley
Rico Henry
Leif Davis
Keane Lewis-Potter
Adam Webster
James Ward-Prowse
Tosin Adarabioyo
Lewis Cook
Joseph Willock
Charlie Cresswell
Emile Smith-Rowe
92
92
90
88
82
82
79
79
74
74
73
73
71
70
70
62
62
60
59
56
55
55
55
54
52
50
48
45
45
45
45
44
43
43
40
34
34
29
28
26
23
22
20
20
19
17
16
15
15
13
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
OptionProbability
Any t30 college
Harvey Mudd
Imperial College London
Purdue
UNH
Florida Tech
UCL
Over 7.5 acceptances
Penn State
over 7.5 rejections
King's College London
NYU
Northeastern
Case Western
Smith College
Wellesley
USC (deferred EA)
UIUC
GA Tech
UMass Amherst
Carnegie Mellon
Any Ivy/HYPSM
Barnard College
Duke
Columbia
Johns Hopkins
Northwestern (deferred ED)
MIT
Yale
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
92
83
75
72
68
67
67
59
59
56
55
52
50
42
33
28
25
24
23
21
21
20
OptionProbability
Hunter Biden
Enrique Tarrio
Joe Biggs
Stewart Rhodes
Kelly Meggs
Ethan Nordean
Dominic Pezzola
George Santos
Donald Trump
Sean 'Diddy' Combs
Ghislane Maxwell
Chelsea Manning
Edward Snowden
Joe Exotic
Tay-K
Sam Bankman-Fried
Derek Chauvin
Julian Assange
Levi Finkelstein
Elizabeth Holmes
R. Kelly
@Mira
Harvey Weinstein
Joe Biden
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
97
68
66
40
39
34
34
27
20
20
19
16
12
9
5
3
2
OptionProbability
Carnegie Mellon University
University of Illinois (note: i live in town and my dad is a professor)
UW Madison
University of Michigan
University of Southern California
Rice university (new addition)
Northwestern (new addition!)
Williams college (new addition!)
UCLA
Cornell (new addition!)
Stanford
University of chicago
Princeton
Harvey mudd college
MIT (new addition!)
100
100
100
61
43
42
40
38
36
24
17
12
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Vaccines are safe
JFK was assassinated by Lee Harvey Oswald acting alone.
The Holocaust was real and ~6M Jewish people were murdered in it
The Apollo moon landings were genuine
Climate change is real and caused by humans
The Earth is round
31
13
10
6
5
2
OptionProbability
AI Infrastructure Hardware (GPUs, TPUs, etc.)
SOTA Text-To-Speech
AI Powered Consumer Device (pins, glasses, speakers, etc.)
AI Language Coach (like Speek)
Non-English SOTA LLM
Legal AI (like Harvey)
AI Speech Coach
AI-Powered Kids Toy
94
81
78
66
54
36
33
31
OptionProbability
Harvey Mudd
UCLA
Cornell
University of Pennsylvania
Stanford
Yale
Columbia
Princeton
Harvard
MIT
100
100
33
32
22
21
21
18
12
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
294
136
OptionProbability
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Northeastern University
Georgia Institute of Technology
Carnegie Mellon University
Harvey Mudd College
MIT
66
66
64
54
50
25
