Head of Trading News

President of Venezuela at the end of 2026

Jan 3, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

350116914

OptionProbability

Delcy Rodríguez

Other

Diosdado Cabello

María Corina Machado

Nicolás Maduro

Edmundo González

Vladimir Padrino López

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.89%chance

338786

OptionVotes

YES

1151

872

Who will be elected US president in 2032?

Feb 3, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

153968

OptionProbability

Other

Gavin Newsom

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Kamala Harris

Andrew Cuomo

Pete Buttigieg

Donald J. Trump

Manifold Scouts: NFL Head Coach Survival Pool (2024-25 Offseason Hires)

Mar 11, 7:29 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

62250

OptionProbability

Ben Johnson - Chicago Bears

Mike Vrabel - New England Patriots

Liam Coen - Jacksonville Jaguars

Brian Schottenheimer - Dallas Cowboys

Kellen Moore - New Orleans Saints

Aaron Glenn - New York Jets

P̶e̶t̶e̶ ̶C̶a̶r̶r̶o̶l̶l̶ ̶-̶ ̶L̶a̶s̶ ̶V̶e̶g̶a̶s̶ ̶R̶a̶i̶d̶e̶r̶s̶

Will there still be at least three Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

May 8, 12:08 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

95.51%chance

131007

OptionVotes

YES

1795

922

Which team will Breece Hall play for in 2026?

Feb 19, 6:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5373

OptionProbability

New York Jets

Other

Kansas City Chiefs

Houston Texans

Denver Broncos

Dallas Cowboys

Minnesota Vikings

New England Patriots

Buffalo Bills

Miami Dolphins

Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

May 8, 12:07 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

75.32%chance

11201

OptionVotes

YES

1027

981

Will Meta sell/divest from WhatsApp before 2028?

Jan 28, 5:43 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16%chance

6140

OptionVotes

YES

229

Will Sam Darnold be the only QB from the 2018 class to win a Super Bowl?

Feb 13, 7:42 AMFeb 21, 11:59 PM

20%chance

4131

OptionVotes

YES

200

Will Polymarket be cited by anyone as a contributing factor to their suicide before 2030?

Oct 29, 7:22 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.68%chance

16114

OptionVotes

YES

144

Framework for a Nordic Confederation before EOY2028? (see description)

May 30, 9:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.62%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

175

🏅2026 O'Reilly Head-to-Head (H2H) Driver Markets (LIVE)

Feb 13, 12:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

130

OptionProbability

02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?

02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside'?

02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?

02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside'?

03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?

03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will Austill Hill OUT FINISH Carson Kvapil?

03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will Sheldon Creed OUT FINISH Sammy Smith?

11/07 (Miami) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?

02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?

02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside'?

02/14 (Daytona - United Rentals 300) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside'?

03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?

03/14 (Las Vegas - The LiUNA!) - Will Jesse Love OUT FINISH Justin Allgaier?

100

Head of Trading News

Prediction markets for Head of Trading

Prediction markets for Head of Trading

Prediction markets for Head of Trading

President of Venezuela at the end of 2026

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Who will be elected US president in 2032?

Manifold Scouts: NFL Head Coach Survival Pool (2024-25 Offseason Hires)

Will there still be at least three Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

Which team will Breece Hall play for in 2026?

Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?

Will Meta sell/divest from WhatsApp before 2028?

Will Sam Darnold be the only QB from the 2018 class to win a Super Bowl?

Will Polymarket be cited by anyone as a contributing factor to their suicide before 2030?

Framework for a Nordic Confederation before EOY2028? (see description)

🏅2026 O'Reilly Head-to-Head (H2H) Driver Markets (LIVE)

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