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Prediction markets for Headquarters

UBS headquartered outside Switzerland by end of 2029?

Sep 25, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.67%chance

75358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1091

917

Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?

Nov 1, 12:50 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

4.76%chance

142733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3519

716

Will Trump visit Xi Jinping in Zhongnanhai during his second term?

Nov 14, 10:15 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

53.1%chance

51631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

550

167

[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

Apr 9, 2:49 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM

96.42%chance

111453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

101

In what year will Equatorial Guinea move its capital to Ciudad de la Paz?

Feb 1, 1:04 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2655

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Never (scrapped)

Other

2024

2025

20

20

20

20

20

1

1

A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026

Jan 16, 9:52 PMJan 16, 11:59 PM

12.62%chance

17645

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1394

1018

Will Citadel still maintain their global headquarters in Miami at the end of 2028?

Mar 7, 2:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.24%chance

15365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

275

154

Will the 4th passage of KRYPTOS be solved by 2028?

Apr 6, 12:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.03%chance

10231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

81

Will any federal "non-core property" be sold to a Trump family member?

Mar 7, 5:06 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

17.39%chance

5210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

48

Steam Deck 2 (or next version) More Info When?

Jan 28, 12:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3161

OptionProbability

Jul-Aug 2026

Sep-Oct 2026

Nov-Dec 2026

May-Jun 2026

Mar-Apr 2026

Jan-Feb 2026

22

22

22

18

9

6

Where will United Airlines' headquarters be located on January 1, 2030?

Feb 12, 7:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2100

OptionProbability

Illinois

Colorado

55

45

Will OpenRouter add a provider from a new country in 2026?

Jan 24, 6:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.2%chance

441

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

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