Headquarters News

UBS headquartered outside Switzerland by end of 2029?

Sep 25, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44%chance

95507

OptionVotes

YES

1129

887

Anthropic relocates by the end of 2027?

Mar 4, 11:47 PMJan 1, 12:44 AM

273219

OptionProbability

Anthropic publicly states that the U.S. political environement is a reason for expanding operations outside the United States

Anthropic announces a new primary AI research hub outside the United States

Anthropic publicly states that U.S. regulation is a reason for expanding operations outside the United States

CEO of Anthropic relocates their primary office outside the United States

Anthropic announces that its primary headquarters is outside the United States

Anthropic relocates majority of its research team to a non-U.S. location

Anthropic hires a non-U.S. based CEO or co-CEO

Anthropic becomes legally incorporated outside the United States

Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?

Nov 1, 12:50 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

6.58%chance

172783

OptionVotes

YES

2674

766

[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

Apr 9, 2:49 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM

96.42%chance

111453

OptionVotes

YES

1122

101

Is there a hidden extraterrestrial facility beneath Pine Gap in Australia?

Sep 14, 12:31 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

2.28%chance

81238

OptionVotes

YES

655

A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026

Jan 16, 9:52 PMJan 16, 11:59 PM

13.98%chance

18665

OptionVotes

YES

1263

1038

In what year will Equatorial Guinea move its capital to Ciudad de la Paz?

Feb 1, 1:04 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2655

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Never (scrapped)

Other

2024

2025

Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?

Feb 24, 9:01 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.83%chance

19599

OptionVotes

YES

274

155

Will Citadel still maintain their global headquarters in Miami at the end of 2028?

Mar 7, 2:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.24%chance

15365

OptionVotes

YES

275

154

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

Will any federal "non-core property" be sold to a Trump family member?

Mar 7, 5:06 PMJan 24, 4:59 AM

17.39%chance

5210

OptionVotes

YES

227

Where will United Airlines' headquarters be located on January 1, 2030?

Feb 12, 7:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2100

OptionProbability

Illinois

Colorado

Headquarters News

Prediction markets for Headquarters

Prediction markets for Headquarters

Prediction markets for Headquarters

UBS headquartered outside Switzerland by end of 2029?

Anthropic relocates by the end of 2027?

Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?

[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

Is there a hidden extraterrestrial facility beneath Pine Gap in Australia?

A Chinese car is one of the top 5 best selling passenger car models in Canada in 2026

In what year will Equatorial Guinea move its capital to Ciudad de la Paz?

Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?

Will Citadel still maintain their global headquarters in Miami at the end of 2028?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Will any federal "non-core property" be sold to a Trump family member?

Where will United Airlines' headquarters be located on January 1, 2030?

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