Health AI News

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?

Dec 9, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41%chance

19028884

OptionVotes

YES

1200

834

Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?

Apr 21, 2:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.2%chance

351386

OptionVotes

YES

1129

936

Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?

Dec 5, 2:45 PMDec 5, 4:59 AM

74.3%chance

141260

OptionVotes

YES

1700

588

Does wearing polyester clothing actually cause negative health effects in humans according to the best evidence in 2034?

Dec 5, 3:29 AMDec 5, 4:59 AM

77.48%chance

121254

OptionVotes

YES

1855

539

By which year will AI significantly extend the human lifespan (by at least 20 years)?

Sep 8, 9:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

111095

OptionProbability

2040–2049

2050–2059

2030–2039

2060 or later

Never

Before 2030

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?

Dec 4, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.62%chance

7955

OptionVotes

YES

1715

583

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Oct 8, 6:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14863

OptionProbability

AI produces highly-customized forms of entertainment

Other

AI is integrated into IDEs and provides suggestions to programmers

AI is used for drug discovery

Managers consult AI while making decisions

AI is integrated into compilers and makes code run faster

AI designs hardware for industrial processes

AI chatbots provide mental health support, boosting productivity

Will I get into Stanford as a Transfer Undergraduate

Feb 2, 2:08 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

9806

OptionProbability

Acceptance

Rejection

Waitlist

Significant AI companion addiction by 2027?

May 18, 5:17 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

90.88%chance

26530

OptionVotes

YES

316

Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?

Apr 14, 7:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.09%chance

21506

OptionVotes

YES

1048

963

Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?

Feb 1, 11:40 AMDec 17, 11:59 PM

9.95%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

1005

999

Health AI News

Prediction markets for Health AI

Prediction markets for Health AI

Prediction markets for Health AI

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?

Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?

Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?

Does wearing polyester clothing actually cause negative health effects in humans according to the best evidence in 2034?

By which year will AI significantly extend the human lifespan (by at least 20 years)?

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Will I get into Stanford as a Transfer Undergraduate

Significant AI companion addiction by 2027?

Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?

Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?

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