Health AI News

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?

Dec 9, 9:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.02%chance

19736975

OptionVotes

YES

2290

437

Will WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026?

May 12, 4:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.34%chance

354365

OptionVotes

YES

3787

767

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Apr 1, 7:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.4%chance

273083

OptionVotes

YES

1630

758

Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?

Apr 21, 2:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.37%chance

362466

OptionVotes

YES

2209

692

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

131706

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?

Dec 5, 2:45 PMDec 5, 4:59 AM

74.3%chance

141260

OptionVotes

YES

1700

588

Does wearing polyester clothing actually cause negative health effects in humans according to the best evidence in 2034?

Dec 5, 3:29 AMDec 5, 4:59 AM

77.48%chance

121254

OptionVotes

YES

1855

539

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?

Dec 4, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.42%chance

81237

OptionVotes

YES

1965

509

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Oct 8, 6:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

16883

OptionProbability

AI produces highly-customized forms of entertainment

Other

AI is integrated into IDEs and provides suggestions to programmers

AI is used for drug discovery

Managers consult AI while making decisions

AI is integrated into compilers and makes code run faster

AI designs hardware for industrial processes

AI chatbots provide mental health support, boosting productivity

Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?

Apr 14, 7:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.53%chance

24587

OptionVotes

YES

1032

969

Will the Yankees finish first in the AL East in 2026?

Mar 26, 2:31 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

23.41%chance

11323

OptionVotes

YES

181

Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?

Feb 1, 11:40 AMDec 17, 11:59 PM

9.62%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

1040

996

Health AI News

Prediction markets for Health AI

Prediction markets for Health AI

Prediction markets for Health AI

Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?

Will WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026?

Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?

Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Does drinking from plastic bottles actually cause negative health effects in humans by the best evidence in 2034?

Does wearing polyester clothing actually cause negative health effects in humans according to the best evidence in 2034?

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?

Will the Yankees finish first in the AL East in 2026?

Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?

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